Daily Archives: November 28, 2006

When will Google crash come?

Dave Winer says we’ll know Web 2.0′s bubble is popped when Google’s stock crashes.

So, what’s the chances of that happening? Well, here in Wales, I see hundreds of businesses, nearly none of them are on Google. Despite the fact that the local population says they use Google.

Translation: Google’s growth isn’t close to being done yet. Particularly internationally.

Will Barons prove right? I don’t know. I still remember all the pundits saying “Apple is dead.” Or, talk to Robert Hess. When he started working at Microsoft about 18 years ago his coworkers told him to sell Microsoft, thinking there was no possible way for the stock to go up more than it already had (remember, back in the 1980s Microsoft was in the same place that Google is today).

I see nothing that’ll stop Google. Do you?

Or, if you do think Google is overrated, what do you think will pop its bubble?

Some things we’ll watch for: growth slowing. That’ll tell us that Google doesn’t have what it takes to get all these businesses on board.

Google employee imagines iPod that can hold all videos

A Google employee can see the day (about 12 years from now) when an iPod or cell phone will come along that will hold all the world’s videos. Yes, even those big ones I’ve been putting on the ScobleShow.

The thing he doesn’t see (or isn’t including in his calculations) is that the world’s video available is growing exponentially every few months. Why? Cost of production. Today with a $4,000 camera I can create better video than even a $50,000 camera could back in the 1980s and using a cell phone camera I could create video that would have been impossible to create just a few years ago.

But, either way, my sponsor, Seagate, is positioned well in this trend.

I see a day when every home will have 10 or more hard drives. Heck, in mine I’m already up to 10. Two in my MacPro. Three external. One in my PVR that’s coming on December 12th (yes, we’re finally hooking the HDTV up to a satellite dish). One in my Voodoo machine. One in my Sony Vaio. One in my Xbox. One in my Thinkpad.

I’m going to get a RAID drive set for archiving my videos, too. That’ll mean at least two more hard drives.

How many hard drives do you have?

Camera phones vs. cops

Alan Reiter, who has been covering camera phones longer than anyone else I can remember, links to Guardian and other articles in a post about how camera phones are changing the way people find out about police actions. Last week the video of a student getting stunned by campus cops was passed near and far. 20 years ago you probably wouldn’t have heard about such a thing, and if you had, it would only have made it to your local newspaper and probably to page 30.