Crowds predict accurately?

I liked meeting Predictify a lot. They use crowds to predict things, and quite accurately too. Their interview is up on FastCompany.tv. Their site says “don’t just read the news, predict it.”

This is one of those interviews when I expected to really be bored through it yet they kept telling me stuff and showing me stuff that opened my eyes to a new way of interacting with people on blogs and sites. I predict you won’t be bored.

Comments

  1. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing :)
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

  2. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing :)
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

  3. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing :)
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

  4. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing :)
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

  5. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing :)
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

  6. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing :)
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

  7. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing :)
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

  8. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing :)
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

  9. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing :)
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

  10. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing :)
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

  11. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing :)
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

  12. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

  13. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

  14. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

  15. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

  16. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

  17. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

  18. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

  19. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

  20. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

  21. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

  22. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

  23. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

  24. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

  25. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

  26. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

  27. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

  28. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

  29. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

  30. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

  31. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

  32. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

  33. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

  34. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? :)

  35. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? :)

  36. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? :)

  37. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? :)

  38. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? :)

  39. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? :)

  40. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? :)

  41. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? :)

  42. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? :)

  43. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? :)

  44. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? :)

  45. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

  46. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

  47. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

  48. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

  49. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

  50. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

  51. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

  52. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

  53. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

  54. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

  55. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

  56. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

  57. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

  58. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

  59. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

  60. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

  61. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

  62. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

  63. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

  64. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

  65. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.