Never underestimate Microsoft’s ability to turn a corner

This week Microsoft didn’t get much hype for its three major announcements. Certainly it didn’t stay on top of TechMeme as long as, say, if Steve Jobs gets a sniffle. But don’t miss what they did.

1. On day 1 of the PDC they announced Azure, which is a set of cloud services that competes with Amazon’s S3 and Rackspace’s Mosso and will radically change enterprises’ acceptance of cloud services for a whole lot of reasons.

2. On day 2 of the PDC they showed off Windows 7 which is getting high praise from my blogging friends who were lent laptops with it on there (I didn’t get Windows 7 yet).

3. On day 3 of the PDC they showed off new Web-based versions of Microsoft Office that were really nice. Will the new PowerPoint have the collaborative features, of, say, SlideRocket? Will Zoho go out of business? No, and no, but this is a significant move into the Web for a group that’s tried to pretend that the Web didn’t matter that much.

4. They also released new Mac and Mobile versions of Mesh and further explained how that’ll enable new kinds of Internet-connected apps to be built.

Some really great resources on all this:

Microsoft put up videos of every session at the PDC.
Ars Technica covered it well
.
Microsoft’s own Channel 9 has a ton of videos.
I have a database of all blogs and good items on FriendFeed for these searches:

So, lets talk about whether Microsoft will be successful in changing the marketplace again. First some things you should remember:

  1. Microsoft has an extraordinarly strong sales force.
  2. Microsoft is a world-wide company with thousands of evangelists located in almost every local market. When I attended the Converge South conference in North Carolina, Microsoft had an evangelist there to make sure everyone got the latest software they were pitching. Same thing happens in Israel. In China. In Russia. In Dubai. In India. Does Rackspace have that kind of on-the-ground sales muscle? No.
  3. Microsoft is one of the few companies with enough cash to ride out the recession in good shape and keep its data centers up-to-date with the latest machines.
  4. Microsoft has a huge set of developers who know Visual Studio well and have been building apps with C# and Visual Basic for years now.
  5. Microsoft has sales leverage due to its other products. Here’s an imaginary Microsoft salesperson’s pitch: “You want Exchange server? Your company will need to buy that unless you’re a small startup and can consider going with a new approach like Gmail. Well, how about you get it a lot cheaper if you go with our cloud services?” Same for Sharepoint. Or SQL Server.

Translation: It doesn’t matter that Microsoft didn’t get all that much hype this year at the PDC or that it didn’t sell out or that other companies like Amazon, Google, and Rackspace are ahead in the cloud game.

You just saw Ray Ozzie turn the creaky old cruiseliner hard to port and damn, it is impressive.

What do you think? Am I right? Did the old cruiseliner just make a major corner turn? Or is this all stuff that can be ignored?

  • Gregg

    @fauigerzigerk

    Free, as in freedom.

  • Gregg

    @fauigerzigerk

    Free, as in freedom.

  • Gregg

    @fauigerzigerk

    Free, as in freedom.

  • Gregg

    @fauigerzigerk

    Free, as in freedom.

  • Gregg

    @fauigerzigerk

    Free, as in freedom.

  • Gregg

    @fauigerzigerk

    Free, as in freedom.

  • Gregg

    @fauigerzigerk

    Free, as in freedom.

  • Pingback: El cielo es azure | Buanzolandia

  • http://teraom.com/ teraom

    WIndows is crap, but most people form the conjecture that Microsoft is bad. Being a apple fan boy, i have always made fun of windows and Microsoft, till i saw the surface and silver light.
    More things in the pack coming up..from Microsoft, Possible, but there should be no one at Infinity loop.

  • http://teraom.com/ teraom

    WIndows is crap, but most people form the conjecture that Microsoft is bad. Being a apple fan boy, i have always made fun of windows and Microsoft, till i saw the surface and silver light.
    More things in the pack coming up..from Microsoft, Possible, but there should be no one at Infinity loop.

  • http://teraom.com/ teraom

    WIndows is crap, but most people form the conjecture that Microsoft is bad. Being a apple fan boy, i have always made fun of windows and Microsoft, till i saw the surface and silver light.
    More things in the pack coming up..from Microsoft, Possible, but there should be no one at Infinity loop.

  • http://teraom.com/ teraom

    WIndows is crap, but most people form the conjecture that Microsoft is bad. Being a apple fan boy, i have always made fun of windows and Microsoft, till i saw the surface and silver light.
    More things in the pack coming up..from Microsoft, Possible, but there should be no one at Infinity loop.

  • http://teraom.com/ teraom

    WIndows is crap, but most people form the conjecture that Microsoft is bad. Being a apple fan boy, i have always made fun of windows and Microsoft, till i saw the surface and silver light.
    More things in the pack coming up..from Microsoft, Possible, but there should be no one at Infinity loop.

  • http://teraom.com/ teraom

    WIndows is crap, but most people form the conjecture that Microsoft is bad. Being a apple fan boy, i have always made fun of windows and Microsoft, till i saw the surface and silver light.
    More things in the pack coming up..from Microsoft, Possible, but there should be no one at Infinity loop.

  • http://teraom.com/ teraom

    WIndows is crap, but most people form the conjecture that Microsoft is bad. Being a apple fan boy, i have always made fun of windows and Microsoft, till i saw the surface and silver light.
    More things in the pack coming up..from Microsoft, Possible, but there should be no one at Infinity loop.

  • http://teraom.com/ teraom

    WIndows is crap, but most people form the conjecture that Microsoft is bad. Being a apple fan boy, i have always made fun of windows and Microsoft, till i saw the surface and silver light.
    More things in the pack coming up..from Microsoft, Possible, but there should be no one at Infinity loop.

  • http://teraom.com/ teraom

    WIndows is crap, but most people form the conjecture that Microsoft is bad. Being a apple fan boy, i have always made fun of windows and Microsoft, till i saw the surface and silver light.
    More things in the pack coming up..from Microsoft, Possible, but there should be no one at Infinity loop.

  • http://teraom.com/ teraom

    WIndows is crap, but most people form the conjecture that Microsoft is bad. Being a apple fan boy, i have always made fun of windows and Microsoft, till i saw the surface and silver light.
    More things in the pack coming up..from Microsoft, Possible, but there should be no one at Infinity loop.

  • http://teraom.com teraom

    WIndows is crap, but most people form the conjecture that Microsoft is bad. Being a apple fan boy, i have always made fun of windows and Microsoft, till i saw the surface and silver light.
    More things in the pack coming up..from Microsoft, Possible, but there should be no one at Infinity loop.

  • Phil

    I follow a simple rule…it always works. Go with the people that have the most to loose, if their pockets are deep enough they can even get through a few screw ups and get lost before they find the right track again. If they find the track and are still ahead of the competition they will win.

    There are 100′s of Billions of dollars at stake and there is no shortage of BI in the IT industry to predict the trends…these guys are playing to 5 and 10 year+ strategies…this is more about chess than chance.

    Microsoft have the most to loose in the developer space, and have some of the deepest pockets. That’s where I will be betting my career skills and my salary for the last 20 years in IT has a lot of “thank you microsoft’s in there” …(I’m doing pretty well so far thank you in the top few % of salary in the country, so my bias here is a direct result of hard cash earned by seeing the long term benefits of their strategy).

    -P

    If you want to have a better idea of where my over simplified my thoughts originate from, a few good solid conspiracy theories or a reason to start a fight in the office tomorrow keep reading!

    They are “food for thought” (hopefully not completly off topic as there is some rellivance)
    and the hightly perceptive of you “may” sense a touch of frustration at the Apple converts…but I hope it makes it past the censors for humor and debates sake (If I save even one it will be worth it!).

    Also….consider this: If you disagree with the points below…ask yourself why you feel so strongly about it. Why after all does anyone have an emotional connection to a brand, technology or an operating system. They may effect your mood when your using them (and you loose your work etc) but probably less than say, when your life is put in danger by a car cutting you off on the way to work, or the timing of every set of lights when your in a hurry. But I don’t see many blogs about how the traffic light systems can be improved (I’m sure you can find some) and how the state of California is evil because they havn’t scrapped lights or blocked change by capping the amount of cars on the road, or come up with some new innovative way to solve the problem, because that new subdivision down the road has a great solution! The reason people care about this stuff is simple…Marketing (lots more on Computers than traffic light technology) and resistance to change. If you find yourself evangelising and caring about something that shouldn’t matter (read Apple)…youv’e just been punked by some marketing guys. (Note to Gen-Y people…your seen as the easiest audience to play with, sorry)

    So…if we consider the wacko idea that time began before the launch of OSX consider this:

    1) Microsoft built a huge part of this industry and gave the world exactly what they asked for with Vista (the lesson for Microsoft here is people don’t know what to ask for). When XP was king all you would ever read about was the unhappy minority talking about the security and blaming MS for every virus that their poor judgement allowed onto their machines (wow by coincidence this is also the time that P2P mp3 and dodgy photo sites ruled the internet…of course it was never on any of the machines left unprotected by Microsoft’s negligence, that was something else). Incidently I ran a machine for 4 years without AV running or a firewall (other than the NAT on my router) and never had a blip of a virus (I still scanned it thanks), because I didn’t use P2P, I didn’t think anyone who loved me would send me an executable attachement or send me money from Kenya and I kept my machine patched.

    And please stop going on and on about Vista UAC (you can turn it off in a lot less time than it takes to complain about it), its in your best interests…and it probably takes less than 30seconds a week of brain power to use.
    …Opps they didn’t pick up the unspoken Gen-Y requirements of “the system should protect me, no matter what I do, it should know my intent and…it can never be my fault,” (Ask yourself how you can secure a car, leave it open for anyone to use then leave it overnight on the wrong side of town…because that’s what your asking for!)

    2) Also still on the Vista bashing…Consider every major OS change has required significant HW updates, I remember installing OS’s early and feeling the pain until I could get new H/W that supported all the features in DOS 3,5,6 …Windows 1,2,3.11,NT,95,98,2000. Oh and I’m typing this on an HP machine labeled “Designed for Windows XP / Vista Compatible” and after a year on XP I loaded Vista…couldn’t be happier…quicker user experience than it was before due to better config file management and drivers, a number of devices are better supported (Bluetooth and Power etc) and if I turn off the Aero stuff…it’s fast as lightning. So if you didn’t do your homework and couldn’t wait…have some personal responsibility here!! I make bad calls all the time (like this email) but learn from it and don’t blame anyone for it.

    3) I’m no stranger to Apple also…I used to use one of the original ones back in 1985, then when I was at University, I upgraded H/W to an LCII …which was outdated in weeks by an LCIII *&^!. Of course then they switched tack completely with the Power PC and then Again with OS X, none of which where backwards or forwards compatible at all (people complain about 90% compatibility with Vista when Apple normally leave you with 0% and wow it costs when you have to replace all your apps)…Remember the comment about marketing about now.

    I have also worked deeply with Apple on the I-Phone launch and as a result of seeing into their organisation will never buy any of their products…I can’t afford to be locked in and kept in the dark (It’s kinda like communism…they say it will be better, but you have to surrender and do everything their way…or perhaps more like prozac). The NDA they tried to make me sign was sobering to say the least and it was also very educational. My opinion was: Apple are a good news factory…they “control everything” god help you if you don’t do what your told. Their goal is to make you love the product, become dependant on the product (through investment of time and funds) and keep you on the hook. This is why you don’t see an SD slot on an I-Pod / I-Phone. Let me be clear here…They make great products and the way they make you love them is to provide a great experince, but they do it for themselves not for you and the it’s not “always” the best (Ever noticed how Mac’s appeal to people, like bait does to Fish!?). Anyone who thinks because they are running Linux and in the minority they are the freedom fighters of the IT industry and that they are fighiting the open standards battle…wake up and smell the marketing. I’m also have great respect for the I’m a MAC campagn’s ability to sett peoples perceptions of Vista. You may have a sense that I am a slight sceptic by now, but even I didn’t realise how much you can manipulate people until I saw what Apple have done here…Great news about the EU looking into I-Tunes anti trust behavior of only supporting their devices!

    4) Linux…Hmmm…doesn’t most of the funding/revenue for the product (through purchasing via product alignment etc) come from Oracle and IBM. Could this be because they don’t have a desktop / client proposition so they need to buy time to defend themselves against Microsoft who’s only place to grow is into their revenue streams? Could it be that the perpetuation of Unix through Linix as a commercial model is largley as a mechanism for Oracle and IBM to strip revenue from Microsoft that they could use to invest in products that enter into their play space? It wasn’t working so well, so now there is a thrust into the office marketplace…who’s paying for that again?

    Who knows, but my money is on IBM here…They are happily cashing in on all their patents and revenue at the top end of town…governments etc they can afford to through a few hundred billion over 10+ years into pushing the revenue out of the low end of the market to keep the $$ out of their challengers pockets or at least slow them down enough to manage.

    6) I guess as I have gone after everyone else here: Google…Marketing…it’s how they make all their money, but we think they don’t use it!? …but I still wish Alta Vista had won the battle, search relivance was much better, but they where out smarted. That said…if you are looking for something that lots of people need to chat to each other about in online forums Google engine provided great results…

    Food for thought anyway…feel free to prove me wrong with a good solid debate!

    -P

  • Phil

    I follow a simple rule…it always works. Go with the people that have the most to loose, if their pockets are deep enough they can even get through a few screw ups and get lost before they find the right track again. If they find the track and are still ahead of the competition they will win.

    There are 100′s of Billions of dollars at stake and there is no shortage of BI in the IT industry to predict the trends…these guys are playing to 5 and 10 year+ strategies…this is more about chess than chance.

    Microsoft have the most to loose in the developer space, and have some of the deepest pockets. That’s where I will be betting my career skills and my salary for the last 20 years in IT has a lot of “thank you microsoft’s in there” …(I’m doing pretty well so far thank you in the top few % of salary in the country, so my bias here is a direct result of hard cash earned by seeing the long term benefits of their strategy).

    -P

    If you want to have a better idea of where my over simplified my thoughts originate from, a few good solid conspiracy theories or a reason to start a fight in the office tomorrow keep reading!

    They are “food for thought” (hopefully not completly off topic as there is some rellivance)
    and the hightly perceptive of you “may” sense a touch of frustration at the Apple converts…but I hope it makes it past the censors for humor and debates sake (If I save even one it will be worth it!).

    Also….consider this: If you disagree with the points below…ask yourself why you feel so strongly about it. Why after all does anyone have an emotional connection to a brand, technology or an operating system. They may effect your mood when your using them (and you loose your work etc) but probably less than say, when your life is put in danger by a car cutting you off on the way to work, or the timing of every set of lights when your in a hurry. But I don’t see many blogs about how the traffic light systems can be improved (I’m sure you can find some) and how the state of California is evil because they havn’t scrapped lights or blocked change by capping the amount of cars on the road, or come up with some new innovative way to solve the problem, because that new subdivision down the road has a great solution! The reason people care about this stuff is simple…Marketing (lots more on Computers than traffic light technology) and resistance to change. If you find yourself evangelising and caring about something that shouldn’t matter (read Apple)…youv’e just been punked by some marketing guys. (Note to Gen-Y people…your seen as the easiest audience to play with, sorry)

    So…if we consider the wacko idea that time began before the launch of OSX consider this:

    1) Microsoft built a huge part of this industry and gave the world exactly what they asked for with Vista (the lesson for Microsoft here is people don’t know what to ask for). When XP was king all you would ever read about was the unhappy minority talking about the security and blaming MS for every virus that their poor judgement allowed onto their machines (wow by coincidence this is also the time that P2P mp3 and dodgy photo sites ruled the internet…of course it was never on any of the machines left unprotected by Microsoft’s negligence, that was something else). Incidently I ran a machine for 4 years without AV running or a firewall (other than the NAT on my router) and never had a blip of a virus (I still scanned it thanks), because I didn’t use P2P, I didn’t think anyone who loved me would send me an executable attachement or send me money from Kenya and I kept my machine patched.

    And please stop going on and on about Vista UAC (you can turn it off in a lot less time than it takes to complain about it), its in your best interests…and it probably takes less than 30seconds a week of brain power to use.
    …Opps they didn’t pick up the unspoken Gen-Y requirements of “the system should protect me, no matter what I do, it should know my intent and…it can never be my fault,” (Ask yourself how you can secure a car, leave it open for anyone to use then leave it overnight on the wrong side of town…because that’s what your asking for!)

    2) Also still on the Vista bashing…Consider every major OS change has required significant HW updates, I remember installing OS’s early and feeling the pain until I could get new H/W that supported all the features in DOS 3,5,6 …Windows 1,2,3.11,NT,95,98,2000. Oh and I’m typing this on an HP machine labeled “Designed for Windows XP / Vista Compatible” and after a year on XP I loaded Vista…couldn’t be happier…quicker user experience than it was before due to better config file management and drivers, a number of devices are better supported (Bluetooth and Power etc) and if I turn off the Aero stuff…it’s fast as lightning. So if you didn’t do your homework and couldn’t wait…have some personal responsibility here!! I make bad calls all the time (like this email) but learn from it and don’t blame anyone for it.

    3) I’m no stranger to Apple also…I used to use one of the original ones back in 1985, then when I was at University, I upgraded H/W to an LCII …which was outdated in weeks by an LCIII *&^!. Of course then they switched tack completely with the Power PC and then Again with OS X, none of which where backwards or forwards compatible at all (people complain about 90% compatibility with Vista when Apple normally leave you with 0% and wow it costs when you have to replace all your apps)…Remember the comment about marketing about now.

    I have also worked deeply with Apple on the I-Phone launch and as a result of seeing into their organisation will never buy any of their products…I can’t afford to be locked in and kept in the dark (It’s kinda like communism…they say it will be better, but you have to surrender and do everything their way…or perhaps more like prozac). The NDA they tried to make me sign was sobering to say the least and it was also very educational. My opinion was: Apple are a good news factory…they “control everything” god help you if you don’t do what your told. Their goal is to make you love the product, become dependant on the product (through investment of time and funds) and keep you on the hook. This is why you don’t see an SD slot on an I-Pod / I-Phone. Let me be clear here…They make great products and the way they make you love them is to provide a great experince, but they do it for themselves not for you and the it’s not “always” the best (Ever noticed how Mac’s appeal to people, like bait does to Fish!?). Anyone who thinks because they are running Linux and in the minority they are the freedom fighters of the IT industry and that they are fighiting the open standards battle…wake up and smell the marketing. I’m also have great respect for the I’m a MAC campagn’s ability to sett peoples perceptions of Vista. You may have a sense that I am a slight sceptic by now, but even I didn’t realise how much you can manipulate people until I saw what Apple have done here…Great news about the EU looking into I-Tunes anti trust behavior of only supporting their devices!

    4) Linux…Hmmm…doesn’t most of the funding/revenue for the product (through purchasing via product alignment etc) come from Oracle and IBM. Could this be because they don’t have a desktop / client proposition so they need to buy time to defend themselves against Microsoft who’s only place to grow is into their revenue streams? Could it be that the perpetuation of Unix through Linix as a commercial model is largley as a mechanism for Oracle and IBM to strip revenue from Microsoft that they could use to invest in products that enter into their play space? It wasn’t working so well, so now there is a thrust into the office marketplace…who’s paying for that again?

    Who knows, but my money is on IBM here…They are happily cashing in on all their patents and revenue at the top end of town…governments etc they can afford to through a few hundred billion over 10+ years into pushing the revenue out of the low end of the market to keep the $$ out of their challengers pockets or at least slow them down enough to manage.

    6) I guess as I have gone after everyone else here: Google…Marketing…it’s how they make all their money, but we think they don’t use it!? …but I still wish Alta Vista had won the battle, search relivance was much better, but they where out smarted. That said…if you are looking for something that lots of people need to chat to each other about in online forums Google engine provided great results…

    Food for thought anyway…feel free to prove me wrong with a good solid debate!

    -P

  • Phil

    I follow a simple rule…it always works. Go with the people that have the most to loose, if their pockets are deep enough they can even get through a few screw ups and get lost before they find the right track again. If they find the track and are still ahead of the competition they will win.

    There are 100′s of Billions of dollars at stake and there is no shortage of BI in the IT industry to predict the trends…these guys are playing to 5 and 10 year+ strategies…this is more about chess than chance.

    Microsoft have the most to loose in the developer space, and have some of the deepest pockets. That’s where I will be betting my career skills and my salary for the last 20 years in IT has a lot of “thank you microsoft’s in there” …(I’m doing pretty well so far thank you in the top few % of salary in the country, so my bias here is a direct result of hard cash earned by seeing the long term benefits of their strategy).

    -P

    If you want to have a better idea of where my over simplified my thoughts originate from, a few good solid conspiracy theories or a reason to start a fight in the office tomorrow keep reading!

    They are “food for thought” (hopefully not completly off topic as there is some rellivance)
    and the hightly perceptive of you “may” sense a touch of frustration at the Apple converts…but I hope it makes it past the censors for humor and debates sake (If I save even one it will be worth it!).

    Also….consider this: If you disagree with the points below…ask yourself why you feel so strongly about it. Why after all does anyone have an emotional connection to a brand, technology or an operating system. They may effect your mood when your using them (and you loose your work etc) but probably less than say, when your life is put in danger by a car cutting you off on the way to work, or the timing of every set of lights when your in a hurry. But I don’t see many blogs about how the traffic light systems can be improved (I’m sure you can find some) and how the state of California is evil because they havn’t scrapped lights or blocked change by capping the amount of cars on the road, or come up with some new innovative way to solve the problem, because that new subdivision down the road has a great solution! The reason people care about this stuff is simple…Marketing (lots more on Computers than traffic light technology) and resistance to change. If you find yourself evangelising and caring about something that shouldn’t matter (read Apple)…youv’e just been punked by some marketing guys. (Note to Gen-Y people…your seen as the easiest audience to play with, sorry)

    So…if we consider the wacko idea that time began before the launch of OSX consider this:

    1) Microsoft built a huge part of this industry and gave the world exactly what they asked for with Vista (the lesson for Microsoft here is people don’t know what to ask for). When XP was king all you would ever read about was the unhappy minority talking about the security and blaming MS for every virus that their poor judgement allowed onto their machines (wow by coincidence this is also the time that P2P mp3 and dodgy photo sites ruled the internet…of course it was never on any of the machines left unprotected by Microsoft’s negligence, that was something else). Incidently I ran a machine for 4 years without AV running or a firewall (other than the NAT on my router) and never had a blip of a virus (I still scanned it thanks), because I didn’t use P2P, I didn’t think anyone who loved me would send me an executable attachement or send me money from Kenya and I kept my machine patched.

    And please stop going on and on about Vista UAC (you can turn it off in a lot less time than it takes to complain about it), its in your best interests…and it probably takes less than 30seconds a week of brain power to use.
    …Opps they didn’t pick up the unspoken Gen-Y requirements of “the system should protect me, no matter what I do, it should know my intent and…it can never be my fault,” (Ask yourself how you can secure a car, leave it open for anyone to use then leave it overnight on the wrong side of town…because that’s what your asking for!)

    2) Also still on the Vista bashing…Consider every major OS change has required significant HW updates, I remember installing OS’s early and feeling the pain until I could get new H/W that supported all the features in DOS 3,5,6 …Windows 1,2,3.11,NT,95,98,2000. Oh and I’m typing this on an HP machine labeled “Designed for Windows XP / Vista Compatible” and after a year on XP I loaded Vista…couldn’t be happier…quicker user experience than it was before due to better config file management and drivers, a number of devices are better supported (Bluetooth and Power etc) and if I turn off the Aero stuff…it’s fast as lightning. So if you didn’t do your homework and couldn’t wait…have some personal responsibility here!! I make bad calls all the time (like this email) but learn from it and don’t blame anyone for it.

    3) I’m no stranger to Apple also…I used to use one of the original ones back in 1985, then when I was at University, I upgraded H/W to an LCII …which was outdated in weeks by an LCIII *&^!. Of course then they switched tack completely with the Power PC and then Again with OS X, none of which where backwards or forwards compatible at all (people complain about 90% compatibility with Vista when Apple normally leave you with 0% and wow it costs when you have to replace all your apps)…Remember the comment about marketing about now.

    I have also worked deeply with Apple on the I-Phone launch and as a result of seeing into their organisation will never buy any of their products…I can’t afford to be locked in and kept in the dark (It’s kinda like communism…they say it will be better, but you have to surrender and do everything their way…or perhaps more like prozac). The NDA they tried to make me sign was sobering to say the least and it was also very educational. My opinion was: Apple are a good news factory…they “control everything” god help you if you don’t do what your told. Their goal is to make you love the product, become dependant on the product (through investment of time and funds) and keep you on the hook. This is why you don’t see an SD slot on an I-Pod / I-Phone. Let me be clear here…They make great products and the way they make you love them is to provide a great experince, but they do it for themselves not for you and the it’s not “always” the best (Ever noticed how Mac’s appeal to people, like bait does to Fish!?). Anyone who thinks because they are running Linux and in the minority they are the freedom fighters of the IT industry and that they are fighiting the open standards battle…wake up and smell the marketing. I’m also have great respect for the I’m a MAC campagn’s ability to sett peoples perceptions of Vista. You may have a sense that I am a slight sceptic by now, but even I didn’t realise how much you can manipulate people until I saw what Apple have done here…Great news about the EU looking into I-Tunes anti trust behavior of only supporting their devices!

    4) Linux…Hmmm…doesn’t most of the funding/revenue for the product (through purchasing via product alignment etc) come from Oracle and IBM. Could this be because they don’t have a desktop / client proposition so they need to buy time to defend themselves against Microsoft who’s only place to grow is into their revenue streams? Could it be that the perpetuation of Unix through Linix as a commercial model is largley as a mechanism for Oracle and IBM to strip revenue from Microsoft that they could use to invest in products that enter into their play space? It wasn’t working so well, so now there is a thrust into the office marketplace…who’s paying for that again?

    Who knows, but my money is on IBM here…They are happily cashing in on all their patents and revenue at the top end of town…governments etc they can afford to through a few hundred billion over 10+ years into pushing the revenue out of the low end of the market to keep the $$ out of their challengers pockets or at least slow them down enough to manage.

    6) I guess as I have gone after everyone else here: Google…Marketing…it’s how they make all their money, but we think they don’t use it!? …but I still wish Alta Vista had won the battle, search relivance was much better, but they where out smarted. That said…if you are looking for something that lots of people need to chat to each other about in online forums Google engine provided great results…

    Food for thought anyway…feel free to prove me wrong with a good solid debate!

    -P

  • Phil

    I follow a simple rule…it always works. Go with the people that have the most to loose, if their pockets are deep enough they can even get through a few screw ups and get lost before they find the right track again. If they find the track and are still ahead of the competition they will win.

    There are 100′s of Billions of dollars at stake and there is no shortage of BI in the IT industry to predict the trends…these guys are playing to 5 and 10 year+ strategies…this is more about chess than chance.

    Microsoft have the most to loose in the developer space, and have some of the deepest pockets. That’s where I will be betting my career skills and my salary for the last 20 years in IT has a lot of “thank you microsoft’s in there” …(I’m doing pretty well so far thank you in the top few % of salary in the country, so my bias here is a direct result of hard cash earned by seeing the long term benefits of their strategy).

    -P

    If you want to have a better idea of where my over simplified my thoughts originate from, a few good solid conspiracy theories or a reason to start a fight in the office tomorrow keep reading!

    They are “food for thought” (hopefully not completly off topic as there is some rellivance)
    and the hightly perceptive of you “may” sense a touch of frustration at the Apple converts…but I hope it makes it past the censors for humor and debates sake (If I save even one it will be worth it!).

    Also….consider this: If you disagree with the points below…ask yourself why you feel so strongly about it. Why after all does anyone have an emotional connection to a brand, technology or an operating system. They may effect your mood when your using them (and you loose your work etc) but probably less than say, when your life is put in danger by a car cutting you off on the way to work, or the timing of every set of lights when your in a hurry. But I don’t see many blogs about how the traffic light systems can be improved (I’m sure you can find some) and how the state of California is evil because they havn’t scrapped lights or blocked change by capping the amount of cars on the road, or come up with some new innovative way to solve the problem, because that new subdivision down the road has a great solution! The reason people care about this stuff is simple…Marketing (lots more on Computers than traffic light technology) and resistance to change. If you find yourself evangelising and caring about something that shouldn’t matter (read Apple)…youv’e just been punked by some marketing guys. (Note to Gen-Y people…your seen as the easiest audience to play with, sorry)

    So…if we consider the wacko idea that time began before the launch of OSX consider this:

    1) Microsoft built a huge part of this industry and gave the world exactly what they asked for with Vista (the lesson for Microsoft here is people don’t know what to ask for). When XP was king all you would ever read about was the unhappy minority talking about the security and blaming MS for every virus that their poor judgement allowed onto their machines (wow by coincidence this is also the time that P2P mp3 and dodgy photo sites ruled the internet…of course it was never on any of the machines left unprotected by Microsoft’s negligence, that was something else). Incidently I ran a machine for 4 years without AV running or a firewall (other than the NAT on my router) and never had a blip of a virus (I still scanned it thanks), because I didn’t use P2P, I didn’t think anyone who loved me would send me an executable attachement or send me money from Kenya and I kept my machine patched.

    And please stop going on and on about Vista UAC (you can turn it off in a lot less time than it takes to complain about it), its in your best interests…and it probably takes less than 30seconds a week of brain power to use.
    …Opps they didn’t pick up the unspoken Gen-Y requirements of “the system should protect me, no matter what I do, it should know my intent and…it can never be my fault,” (Ask yourself how you can secure a car, leave it open for anyone to use then leave it overnight on the wrong side of town…because that’s what your asking for!)

    2) Also still on the Vista bashing…Consider every major OS change has required significant HW updates, I remember installing OS’s early and feeling the pain until I could get new H/W that supported all the features in DOS 3,5,6 …Windows 1,2,3.11,NT,95,98,2000. Oh and I’m typing this on an HP machine labeled “Designed for Windows XP / Vista Compatible” and after a year on XP I loaded Vista…couldn’t be happier…quicker user experience than it was before due to better config file management and drivers, a number of devices are better supported (Bluetooth and Power etc) and if I turn off the Aero stuff…it’s fast as lightning. So if you didn’t do your homework and couldn’t wait…have some personal responsibility here!! I make bad calls all the time (like this email) but learn from it and don’t blame anyone for it.

    3) I’m no stranger to Apple also…I used to use one of the original ones back in 1985, then when I was at University, I upgraded H/W to an LCII …which was outdated in weeks by an LCIII *&^!. Of course then they switched tack completely with the Power PC and then Again with OS X, none of which where backwards or forwards compatible at all (people complain about 90% compatibility with Vista when Apple normally leave you with 0% and wow it costs when you have to replace all your apps)…Remember the comment about marketing about now.

    I have also worked deeply with Apple on the I-Phone launch and as a result of seeing into their organisation will never buy any of their products…I can’t afford to be locked in and kept in the dark (It’s kinda like communism…they say it will be better, but you have to surrender and do everything their way…or perhaps more like prozac). The NDA they tried to make me sign was sobering to say the least and it was also very educational. My opinion was: Apple are a good news factory…they “control everything” god help you if you don’t do what your told. Their goal is to make you love the product, become dependant on the product (through investment of time and funds) and keep you on the hook. This is why you don’t see an SD slot on an I-Pod / I-Phone. Let me be clear here…They make great products and the way they make you love them is to provide a great experince, but they do it for themselves not for you and the it’s not “always” the best (Ever noticed how Mac’s appeal to people, like bait does to Fish!?). Anyone who thinks because they are running Linux and in the minority they are the freedom fighters of the IT industry and that they are fighiting the open standards battle…wake up and smell the marketing. I’m also have great respect for the I’m a MAC campagn’s ability to sett peoples perceptions of Vista. You may have a sense that I am a slight sceptic by now, but even I didn’t realise how much you can manipulate people until I saw what Apple have done here…Great news about the EU looking into I-Tunes anti trust behavior of only supporting their devices!

    4) Linux…Hmmm…doesn’t most of the funding/revenue for the product (through purchasing via product alignment etc) come from Oracle and IBM. Could this be because they don’t have a desktop / client proposition so they need to buy time to defend themselves against Microsoft who’s only place to grow is into their revenue streams? Could it be that the perpetuation of Unix through Linix as a commercial model is largley as a mechanism for Oracle and IBM to strip revenue from Microsoft that they could use to invest in products that enter into their play space? It wasn’t working so well, so now there is a thrust into the office marketplace…who’s paying for that again?

    Who knows, but my money is on IBM here…They are happily cashing in on all their patents and revenue at the top end of town…governments etc they can afford to through a few hundred billion over 10+ years into pushing the revenue out of the low end of the market to keep the $$ out of their challengers pockets or at least slow them down enough to manage.

    6) I guess as I have gone after everyone else here: Google…Marketing…it’s how they make all their money, but we think they don’t use it!? …but I still wish Alta Vista had won the battle, search relivance was much better, but they where out smarted. That said…if you are looking for something that lots of people need to chat to each other about in online forums Google engine provided great results…

    Food for thought anyway…feel free to prove me wrong with a good solid debate!

    -P

  • Phil

    I follow a simple rule…it always works. Go with the people that have the most to loose, if their pockets are deep enough they can even get through a few screw ups and get lost before they find the right track again. If they find the track and are still ahead of the competition they will win.

    There are 100′s of Billions of dollars at stake and there is no shortage of BI in the IT industry to predict the trends…these guys are playing to 5 and 10 year+ strategies…this is more about chess than chance.

    Microsoft have the most to loose in the developer space, and have some of the deepest pockets. That’s where I will be betting my career skills and my salary for the last 20 years in IT has a lot of “thank you microsoft’s in there” …(I’m doing pretty well so far thank you in the top few % of salary in the country, so my bias here is a direct result of hard cash earned by seeing the long term benefits of their strategy).

    -P

    If you want to have a better idea of where my over simplified my thoughts originate from, a few good solid conspiracy theories or a reason to start a fight in the office tomorrow keep reading!

    They are “food for thought” (hopefully not completly off topic as there is some rellivance)
    and the hightly perceptive of you “may” sense a touch of frustration at the Apple converts…but I hope it makes it past the censors for humor and debates sake (If I save even one it will be worth it!).

    Also….consider this: If you disagree with the points below…ask yourself why you feel so strongly about it. Why after all does anyone have an emotional connection to a brand, technology or an operating system. They may effect your mood when your using them (and you loose your work etc) but probably less than say, when your life is put in danger by a car cutting you off on the way to work, or the timing of every set of lights when your in a hurry. But I don’t see many blogs about how the traffic light systems can be improved (I’m sure you can find some) and how the state of California is evil because they havn’t scrapped lights or blocked change by capping the amount of cars on the road, or come up with some new innovative way to solve the problem, because that new subdivision down the road has a great solution! The reason people care about this stuff is simple…Marketing (lots more on Computers than traffic light technology) and resistance to change. If you find yourself evangelising and caring about something that shouldn’t matter (read Apple)…youv’e just been punked by some marketing guys. (Note to Gen-Y people…your seen as the easiest audience to play with, sorry)

    So…if we consider the wacko idea that time began before the launch of OSX consider this:

    1) Microsoft built a huge part of this industry and gave the world exactly what they asked for with Vista (the lesson for Microsoft here is people don’t know what to ask for). When XP was king all you would ever read about was the unhappy minority talking about the security and blaming MS for every virus that their poor judgement allowed onto their machines (wow by coincidence this is also the time that P2P mp3 and dodgy photo sites ruled the internet…of course it was never on any of the machines left unprotected by Microsoft’s negligence, that was something else). Incidently I ran a machine for 4 years without AV running or a firewall (other than the NAT on my router) and never had a blip of a virus (I still scanned it thanks), because I didn’t use P2P, I didn’t think anyone who loved me would send me an executable attachement or send me money from Kenya and I kept my machine patched.

    And please stop going on and on about Vista UAC (you can turn it off in a lot less time than it takes to complain about it), its in your best interests…and it probably takes less than 30seconds a week of brain power to use.
    …Opps they didn’t pick up the unspoken Gen-Y requirements of “the system should protect me, no matter what I do, it should know my intent and…it can never be my fault,” (Ask yourself how you can secure a car, leave it open for anyone to use then leave it overnight on the wrong side of town…because that’s what your asking for!)

    2) Also still on the Vista bashing…Consider every major OS change has required significant HW updates, I remember installing OS’s early and feeling the pain until I could get new H/W that supported all the features in DOS 3,5,6 …Windows 1,2,3.11,NT,95,98,2000. Oh and I’m typing this on an HP machine labeled “Designed for Windows XP / Vista Compatible” and after a year on XP I loaded Vista…couldn’t be happier…quicker user experience than it was before due to better config file management and drivers, a number of devices are better supported (Bluetooth and Power etc) and if I turn off the Aero stuff…it’s fast as lightning. So if you didn’t do your homework and couldn’t wait…have some personal responsibility here!! I make bad calls all the time (like this email) but learn from it and don’t blame anyone for it.

    3) I’m no stranger to Apple also…I used to use one of the original ones back in 1985, then when I was at University, I upgraded H/W to an LCII …which was outdated in weeks by an LCIII *&^!. Of course then they switched tack completely with the Power PC and then Again with OS X, none of which where backwards or forwards compatible at all (people complain about 90% compatibility with Vista when Apple normally leave you with 0% and wow it costs when you have to replace all your apps)…Remember the comment about marketing about now.

    I have also worked deeply with Apple on the I-Phone launch and as a result of seeing into their organisation will never buy any of their products…I can’t afford to be locked in and kept in the dark (It’s kinda like communism…they say it will be better, but you have to surrender and do everything their way…or perhaps more like prozac). The NDA they tried to make me sign was sobering to say the least and it was also very educational. My opinion was: Apple are a good news factory…they “control everything” god help you if you don’t do what your told. Their goal is to make you love the product, become dependant on the product (through investment of time and funds) and keep you on the hook. This is why you don’t see an SD slot on an I-Pod / I-Phone. Let me be clear here…They make great products and the way they make you love them is to provide a great experince, but they do it for themselves not for you and the it’s not “always” the best (Ever noticed how Mac’s appeal to people, like bait does to Fish!?). Anyone who thinks because they are running Linux and in the minority they are the freedom fighters of the IT industry and that they are fighiting the open standards battle…wake up and smell the marketing. I’m also have great respect for the I’m a MAC campagn’s ability to sett peoples perceptions of Vista. You may have a sense that I am a slight sceptic by now, but even I didn’t realise how much you can manipulate people until I saw what Apple have done here…Great news about the EU looking into I-Tunes anti trust behavior of only supporting their devices!

    4) Linux…Hmmm…doesn’t most of the funding/revenue for the product (through purchasing via product alignment etc) come from Oracle and IBM. Could this be because they don’t have a desktop / client proposition so they need to buy time to defend themselves against Microsoft who’s only place to grow is into their revenue streams? Could it be that the perpetuation of Unix through Linix as a commercial model is largley as a mechanism for Oracle and IBM to strip revenue from Microsoft that they could use to invest in products that enter into their play space? It wasn’t working so well, so now there is a thrust into the office marketplace…who’s paying for that again?

    Who knows, but my money is on IBM here…They are happily cashing in on all their patents and revenue at the top end of town…governments etc they can afford to through a few hundred billion over 10+ years into pushing the revenue out of the low end of the market to keep the $$ out of their challengers pockets or at least slow them down enough to manage.

    6) I guess as I have gone after everyone else here: Google…Marketing…it’s how they make all their money, but we think they don’t use it!? …but I still wish Alta Vista had won the battle, search relivance was much better, but they where out smarted. That said…if you are looking for something that lots of people need to chat to each other about in online forums Google engine provided great results…

    Food for thought anyway…feel free to prove me wrong with a good solid debate!

    -P

  • Phil

    I follow a simple rule…it always works. Go with the people that have the most to loose, if their pockets are deep enough they can even get through a few screw ups and get lost before they find the right track again. If they find the track and are still ahead of the competition they will win.

    There are 100′s of Billions of dollars at stake and there is no shortage of BI in the IT industry to predict the trends…these guys are playing to 5 and 10 year+ strategies…this is more about chess than chance.

    Microsoft have the most to loose in the developer space, and have some of the deepest pockets. That’s where I will be betting my career skills and my salary for the last 20 years in IT has a lot of “thank you microsoft’s in there” …(I’m doing pretty well so far thank you in the top few % of salary in the country, so my bias here is a direct result of hard cash earned by seeing the long term benefits of their strategy).

    -P

    If you want to have a better idea of where my over simplified my thoughts originate from, a few good solid conspiracy theories or a reason to start a fight in the office tomorrow keep reading!

    They are “food for thought” (hopefully not completly off topic as there is some rellivance)
    and the hightly perceptive of you “may” sense a touch of frustration at the Apple converts…but I hope it makes it past the censors for humor and debates sake (If I save even one it will be worth it!).

    Also….consider this: If you disagree with the points below…ask yourself why you feel so strongly about it. Why after all does anyone have an emotional connection to a brand, technology or an operating system. They may effect your mood when your using them (and you loose your work etc) but probably less than say, when your life is put in danger by a car cutting you off on the way to work, or the timing of every set of lights when your in a hurry. But I don’t see many blogs about how the traffic light systems can be improved (I’m sure you can find some) and how the state of California is evil because they havn’t scrapped lights or blocked change by capping the amount of cars on the road, or come up with some new innovative way to solve the problem, because that new subdivision down the road has a great solution! The reason people care about this stuff is simple…Marketing (lots more on Computers than traffic light technology) and resistance to change. If you find yourself evangelising and caring about something that shouldn’t matter (read Apple)…youv’e just been punked by some marketing guys. (Note to Gen-Y people…your seen as the easiest audience to play with, sorry)

    So…if we consider the wacko idea that time began before the launch of OSX consider this:

    1) Microsoft built a huge part of this industry and gave the world exactly what they asked for with Vista (the lesson for Microsoft here is people don’t know what to ask for). When XP was king all you would ever read about was the unhappy minority talking about the security and blaming MS for every virus that their poor judgement allowed onto their machines (wow by coincidence this is also the time that P2P mp3 and dodgy photo sites ruled the internet…of course it was never on any of the machines left unprotected by Microsoft’s negligence, that was something else). Incidently I ran a machine for 4 years without AV running or a firewall (other than the NAT on my router) and never had a blip of a virus (I still scanned it thanks), because I didn’t use P2P, I didn’t think anyone who loved me would send me an executable attachement or send me money from Kenya and I kept my machine patched.

    And please stop going on and on about Vista UAC (you can turn it off in a lot less time than it takes to complain about it), its in your best interests…and it probably takes less than 30seconds a week of brain power to use.
    …Opps they didn’t pick up the unspoken Gen-Y requirements of “the system should protect me, no matter what I do, it should know my intent and…it can never be my fault,” (Ask yourself how you can secure a car, leave it open for anyone to use then leave it overnight on the wrong side of town…because that’s what your asking for!)

    2) Also still on the Vista bashing…Consider every major OS change has required significant HW updates, I remember installing OS’s early and feeling the pain until I could get new H/W that supported all the features in DOS 3,5,6 …Windows 1,2,3.11,NT,95,98,2000. Oh and I’m typing this on an HP machine labeled “Designed for Windows XP / Vista Compatible” and after a year on XP I loaded Vista…couldn’t be happier…quicker user experience than it was before due to better config file management and drivers, a number of devices are better supported (Bluetooth and Power etc) and if I turn off the Aero stuff…it’s fast as lightning. So if you didn’t do your homework and couldn’t wait…have some personal responsibility here!! I make bad calls all the time (like this email) but learn from it and don’t blame anyone for it.

    3) I’m no stranger to Apple also…I used to use one of the original ones back in 1985, then when I was at University, I upgraded H/W to an LCII …which was outdated in weeks by an LCIII *&^!. Of course then they switched tack completely with the Power PC and then Again with OS X, none of which where backwards or forwards compatible at all (people complain about 90% compatibility with Vista when Apple normally leave you with 0% and wow it costs when you have to replace all your apps)…Remember the comment about marketing about now.

    I have also worked deeply with Apple on the I-Phone launch and as a result of seeing into their organisation will never buy any of their products…I can’t afford to be locked in and kept in the dark (It’s kinda like communism…they say it will be better, but you have to surrender and do everything their way…or perhaps more like prozac). The NDA they tried to make me sign was sobering to say the least and it was also very educational. My opinion was: Apple are a good news factory…they “control everything” god help you if you don’t do what your told. Their goal is to make you love the product, become dependant on the product (through investment of time and funds) and keep you on the hook. This is why you don’t see an SD slot on an I-Pod / I-Phone. Let me be clear here…They make great products and the way they make you love them is to provide a great experince, but they do it for themselves not for you and the it’s not “always” the best (Ever noticed how Mac’s appeal to people, like bait does to Fish!?). Anyone who thinks because they are running Linux and in the minority they are the freedom fighters of the IT industry and that they are fighiting the open standards battle…wake up and smell the marketing. I’m also have great respect for the I’m a MAC campagn’s ability to sett peoples perceptions of Vista. You may have a sense that I am a slight sceptic by now, but even I didn’t realise how much you can manipulate people until I saw what Apple have done here…Great news about the EU looking into I-Tunes anti trust behavior of only supporting their devices!

    4) Linux…Hmmm…doesn’t most of the funding/revenue for the product (through purchasing via product alignment etc) come from Oracle and IBM. Could this be because they don’t have a desktop / client proposition so they need to buy time to defend themselves against Microsoft who’s only place to grow is into their revenue streams? Could it be that the perpetuation of Unix through Linix as a commercial model is largley as a mechanism for Oracle and IBM to strip revenue from Microsoft that they could use to invest in products that enter into their play space? It wasn’t working so well, so now there is a thrust into the office marketplace…who’s paying for that again?

    Who knows, but my money is on IBM here…They are happily cashing in on all their patents and revenue at the top end of town…governments etc they can afford to through a few hundred billion over 10+ years into pushing the revenue out of the low end of the market to keep the $$ out of their challengers pockets or at least slow them down enough to manage.

    6) I guess as I have gone after everyone else here: Google…Marketing…it’s how they make all their money, but we think they don’t use it!? …but I still wish Alta Vista had won the battle, search relivance was much better, but they where out smarted. That said…if you are looking for something that lots of people need to chat to each other about in online forums Google engine provided great results…

    Food for thought anyway…feel free to prove me wrong with a good solid debate!

    -P

  • Phil

    I follow a simple rule…it always works. Go with the people that have the most to loose, if their pockets are deep enough they can even get through a few screw ups and get lost before they find the right track again. If they find the track and are still ahead of the competition they will win.

    There are 100′s of Billions of dollars at stake and there is no shortage of BI in the IT industry to predict the trends…these guys are playing to 5 and 10 year+ strategies…this is more about chess than chance.

    Microsoft have the most to loose in the developer space, and have some of the deepest pockets. That’s where I will be betting my career skills and my salary for the last 20 years in IT has a lot of “thank you microsoft’s in there” …(I’m doing pretty well so far thank you in the top few % of salary in the country, so my bias here is a direct result of hard cash earned by seeing the long term benefits of their strategy).

    -P

    If you want to have a better idea of where my over simplified my thoughts originate from, a few good solid conspiracy theories or a reason to start a fight in the office tomorrow keep reading!

    They are “food for thought” (hopefully not completly off topic as there is some rellivance)
    and the hightly perceptive of you “may” sense a touch of frustration at the Apple converts…but I hope it makes it past the censors for humor and debates sake (If I save even one it will be worth it!).

    Also….consider this: If you disagree with the points below…ask yourself why you feel so strongly about it. Why after all does anyone have an emotional connection to a brand, technology or an operating system. They may effect your mood when your using them (and you loose your work etc) but probably less than say, when your life is put in danger by a car cutting you off on the way to work, or the timing of every set of lights when your in a hurry. But I don’t see many blogs about how the traffic light systems can be improved (I’m sure you can find some) and how the state of California is evil because they havn’t scrapped lights or blocked change by capping the amount of cars on the road, or come up with some new innovative way to solve the problem, because that new subdivision down the road has a great solution! The reason people care about this stuff is simple…Marketing (lots more on Computers than traffic light technology) and resistance to change. If you find yourself evangelising and caring about something that shouldn’t matter (read Apple)…youv’e just been punked by some marketing guys. (Note to Gen-Y people…your seen as the easiest audience to play with, sorry)

    So…if we consider the wacko idea that time began before the launch of OSX consider this:

    1) Microsoft built a huge part of this industry and gave the world exactly what they asked for with Vista (the lesson for Microsoft here is people don’t know what to ask for). When XP was king all you would ever read about was the unhappy minority talking about the security and blaming MS for every virus that their poor judgement allowed onto their machines (wow by coincidence this is also the time that P2P mp3 and dodgy photo sites ruled the internet…of course it was never on any of the machines left unprotected by Microsoft’s negligence, that was something else). Incidently I ran a machine for 4 years without AV running or a firewall (other than the NAT on my router) and never had a blip of a virus (I still scanned it thanks), because I didn’t use P2P, I didn’t think anyone who loved me would send me an executable attachement or send me money from Kenya and I kept my machine patched.

    And please stop going on and on about Vista UAC (you can turn it off in a lot less time than it takes to complain about it), its in your best interests…and it probably takes less than 30seconds a week of brain power to use.
    …Opps they didn’t pick up the unspoken Gen-Y requirements of “the system should protect me, no matter what I do, it should know my intent and…it can never be my fault,” (Ask yourself how you can secure a car, leave it open for anyone to use then leave it overnight on the wrong side of town…because that’s what your asking for!)

    2) Also still on the Vista bashing…Consider every major OS change has required significant HW updates, I remember installing OS’s early and feeling the pain until I could get new H/W that supported all the features in DOS 3,5,6 …Windows 1,2,3.11,NT,95,98,2000. Oh and I’m typing this on an HP machine labeled “Designed for Windows XP / Vista Compatible” and after a year on XP I loaded Vista…couldn’t be happier…quicker user experience than it was before due to better config file management and drivers, a number of devices are better supported (Bluetooth and Power etc) and if I turn off the Aero stuff…it’s fast as lightning. So if you didn’t do your homework and couldn’t wait…have some personal responsibility here!! I make bad calls all the time (like this email) but learn from it and don’t blame anyone for it.

    3) I’m no stranger to Apple also…I used to use one of the original ones back in 1985, then when I was at University, I upgraded H/W to an LCII …which was outdated in weeks by an LCIII *&^!. Of course then they switched tack completely with the Power PC and then Again with OS X, none of which where backwards or forwards compatible at all (people complain about 90% compatibility with Vista when Apple normally leave you with 0% and wow it costs when you have to replace all your apps)…Remember the comment about marketing about now.

    I have also worked deeply with Apple on the I-Phone launch and as a result of seeing into their organisation will never buy any of their products…I can’t afford to be locked in and kept in the dark (It’s kinda like communism…they say it will be better, but you have to surrender and do everything their way…or perhaps more like prozac). The NDA they tried to make me sign was sobering to say the least and it was also very educational. My opinion was: Apple are a good news factory…they “control everything” god help you if you don’t do what your told. Their goal is to make you love the product, become dependant on the product (through investment of time and funds) and keep you on the hook. This is why you don’t see an SD slot on an I-Pod / I-Phone. Let me be clear here…They make great products and the way they make you love them is to provide a great experince, but they do it for themselves not for you and the it’s not “always” the best (Ever noticed how Mac’s appeal to people, like bait does to Fish!?). Anyone who thinks because they are running Linux and in the minority they are the freedom fighters of the IT industry and that they are fighiting the open standards battle…wake up and smell the marketing. I’m also have great respect for the I’m a MAC campagn’s ability to sett peoples perceptions of Vista. You may have a sense that I am a slight sceptic by now, but even I didn’t realise how much you can manipulate people until I saw what Apple have done here…Great news about the EU looking into I-Tunes anti trust behavior of only supporting their devices!

    4) Linux…Hmmm…doesn’t most of the funding/revenue for the product (through purchasing via product alignment etc) come from Oracle and IBM. Could this be because they don’t have a desktop / client proposition so they need to buy time to defend themselves against Microsoft who’s only place to grow is into their revenue streams? Could it be that the perpetuation of Unix through Linix as a commercial model is largley as a mechanism for Oracle and IBM to strip revenue from Microsoft that they could use to invest in products that enter into their play space? It wasn’t working so well, so now there is a thrust into the office marketplace…who’s paying for that again?

    Who knows, but my money is on IBM here…They are happily cashing in on all their patents and revenue at the top end of town…governments etc they can afford to through a few hundred billion over 10+ years into pushing the revenue out of the low end of the market to keep the $$ out of their challengers pockets or at least slow them down enough to manage.

    6) I guess as I have gone after everyone else here: Google…Marketing…it’s how they make all their money, but we think they don’t use it!? …but I still wish Alta Vista had won the battle, search relivance was much better, but they where out smarted. That said…if you are looking for something that lots of people need to chat to each other about in online forums Google engine provided great results…

    Food for thought anyway…feel free to prove me wrong with a good solid debate!

    -P

  • Phil

    I follow a simple rule…it always works. Go with the people that have the most to loose, if their pockets are deep enough they can even get through a few screw ups and get lost before they find the right track again. If they find the track and are still ahead of the competition they will win.

    There are 100′s of Billions of dollars at stake and there is no shortage of BI in the IT industry to predict the trends…these guys are playing to 5 and 10 year+ strategies…this is more about chess than chance.

    Microsoft have the most to loose in the developer space, and have some of the deepest pockets. That’s where I will be betting my career skills and my salary for the last 20 years in IT has a lot of “thank you microsoft’s in there” …(I’m doing pretty well so far thank you in the top few % of salary in the country, so my bias here is a direct result of hard cash earned by seeing the long term benefits of their strategy).

    -P

    If you want to have a better idea of where my over simplified my thoughts originate from, a few good solid conspiracy theories or a reason to start a fight in the office tomorrow keep reading!

    They are “food for thought” (hopefully not completly off topic as there is some rellivance)
    and the hightly perceptive of you “may” sense a touch of frustration at the Apple converts…but I hope it makes it past the censors for humor and debates sake (If I save even one it will be worth it!).

    Also….consider this: If you disagree with the points below…ask yourself why you feel so strongly about it. Why after all does anyone have an emotional connection to a brand, technology or an operating system. They may effect your mood when your using them (and you loose your work etc) but probably less than say, when your life is put in danger by a car cutting you off on the way to work, or the timing of every set of lights when your in a hurry. But I don’t see many blogs about how the traffic light systems can be improved (I’m sure you can find some) and how the state of California is evil because they havn’t scrapped lights or blocked change by capping the amount of cars on the road, or come up with some new innovative way to solve the problem, because that new subdivision down the road has a great solution! The reason people care about this stuff is simple…Marketing (lots more on Computers than traffic light technology) and resistance to change. If you find yourself evangelising and caring about something that shouldn’t matter (read Apple)…youv’e just been punked by some marketing guys. (Note to Gen-Y people…your seen as the easiest audience to play with, sorry)

    So…if we consider the wacko idea that time began before the launch of OSX consider this:

    1) Microsoft built a huge part of this industry and gave the world exactly what they asked for with Vista (the lesson for Microsoft here is people don’t know what to ask for). When XP was king all you would ever read about was the unhappy minority talking about the security and blaming MS for every virus that their poor judgement allowed onto their machines (wow by coincidence this is also the time that P2P mp3 and dodgy photo sites ruled the internet…of course it was never on any of the machines left unprotected by Microsoft’s negligence, that was something else). Incidently I ran a machine for 4 years without AV running or a firewall (other than the NAT on my router) and never had a blip of a virus (I still scanned it thanks), because I didn’t use P2P, I didn’t think anyone who loved me would send me an executable attachement or send me money from Kenya and I kept my machine patched.

    And please stop going on and on about Vista UAC (you can turn it off in a lot less time than it takes to complain about it), its in your best interests…and it probably takes less than 30seconds a week of brain power to use.
    …Opps they didn’t pick up the unspoken Gen-Y requirements of “the system should protect me, no matter what I do, it should know my intent and…it can never be my fault,” (Ask yourself how you can secure a car, leave it open for anyone to use then leave it overnight on the wrong side of town…because that’s what your asking for!)

    2) Also still on the Vista bashing…Consider every major OS change has required significant HW updates, I remember installing OS’s early and feeling the pain until I could get new H/W that supported all the features in DOS 3,5,6 …Windows 1,2,3.11,NT,95,98,2000. Oh and I’m typing this on an HP machine labeled “Designed for Windows XP / Vista Compatible” and after a year on XP I loaded Vista…couldn’t be happier…quicker user experience than it was before due to better config file management and drivers, a number of devices are better supported (Bluetooth and Power etc) and if I turn off the Aero stuff…it’s fast as lightning. So if you didn’t do your homework and couldn’t wait…have some personal responsibility here!! I make bad calls all the time (like this email) but learn from it and don’t blame anyone for it.

    3) I’m no stranger to Apple also…I used to use one of the original ones back in 1985, then when I was at University, I upgraded H/W to an LCII …which was outdated in weeks by an LCIII *&^!. Of course then they switched tack completely with the Power PC and then Again with OS X, none of which where backwards or forwards compatible at all (people complain about 90% compatibility with Vista when Apple normally leave you with 0% and wow it costs when you have to replace all your apps)…Remember the comment about marketing about now.

    I have also worked deeply with Apple on the I-Phone launch and as a result of seeing into their organisation will never buy any of their products…I can’t afford to be locked in and kept in the dark (It’s kinda like communism…they say it will be better, but you have to surrender and do everything their way…or perhaps more like prozac). The NDA they tried to make me sign was sobering to say the least and it was also very educational. My opinion was: Apple are a good news factory…they “control everything” god help you if you don’t do what your told. Their goal is to make you love the product, become dependant on the product (through investment of time and funds) and keep you on the hook. This is why you don’t see an SD slot on an I-Pod / I-Phone. Let me be clear here…They make great products and the way they make you love them is to provide a great experince, but they do it for themselves not for you and the it’s not “always” the best (Ever noticed how Mac’s appeal to people, like bait does to Fish!?). Anyone who thinks because they are running Linux and in the minority they are the freedom fighters of the IT industry and that they are fighiting the open standards battle…wake up and smell the marketing. I’m also have great respect for the I’m a MAC campagn’s ability to sett peoples perceptions of Vista. You may have a sense that I am a slight sceptic by now, but even I didn’t realise how much you can manipulate people until I saw what Apple have done here…Great news about the EU looking into I-Tunes anti trust behavior of only supporting their devices!

    4) Linux…Hmmm…doesn’t most of the funding/revenue for the product (through purchasing via product alignment etc) come from Oracle and IBM. Could this be because they don’t have a desktop / client proposition so they need to buy time to defend themselves against Microsoft who’s only place to grow is into their revenue streams? Could it be that the perpetuation of Unix through Linix as a commercial model is largley as a mechanism for Oracle and IBM to strip revenue from Microsoft that they could use to invest in products that enter into their play space? It wasn’t working so well, so now there is a thrust into the office marketplace…who’s paying for that again?

    Who knows, but my money is on IBM here…They are happily cashing in on all their patents and revenue at the top end of town…governments etc they can afford to through a few hundred billion over 10+ years into pushing the revenue out of the low end of the market to keep the $$ out of their challengers pockets or at least slow them down enough to manage.

    6) I guess as I have gone after everyone else here: Google…Marketing…it’s how they make all their money, but we think they don’t use it!? …but I still wish Alta Vista had won the battle, search relivance was much better, but they where out smarted. That said…if you are looking for something that lots of people need to chat to each other about in online forums Google engine provided great results…

    Food for thought anyway…feel free to prove me wrong with a good solid debate!

    -P

  • Phil

    I follow a simple rule…it always works. Go with the people that have the most to loose, if their pockets are deep enough they can even get through a few screw ups and get lost before they find the right track again. If they find the track and are still ahead of the competition they will win.

    There are 100′s of Billions of dollars at stake and there is no shortage of BI in the IT industry to predict the trends…these guys are playing to 5 and 10 year+ strategies…this is more about chess than chance.

    Microsoft have the most to loose in the developer space, and have some of the deepest pockets. That’s where I will be betting my career skills and my salary for the last 20 years in IT has a lot of “thank you microsoft’s in there” …(I’m doing pretty well so far thank you in the top few % of salary in the country, so my bias here is a direct result of hard cash earned by seeing the long term benefits of their strategy).

    -P

    If you want to have a better idea of where my over simplified my thoughts originate from, a few good solid conspiracy theories or a reason to start a fight in the office tomorrow keep reading!

    They are “food for thought” (hopefully not completly off topic as there is some rellivance)
    and the hightly perceptive of you “may” sense a touch of frustration at the Apple converts…but I hope it makes it past the censors for humor and debates sake (If I save even one it will be worth it!).

    Also….consider this: If you disagree with the points below…ask yourself why you feel so strongly about it. Why after all does anyone have an emotional connection to a brand, technology or an operating system. They may effect your mood when your using them (and you loose your work etc) but probably less than say, when your life is put in danger by a car cutting you off on the way to work, or the timing of every set of lights when your in a hurry. But I don’t see many blogs about how the traffic light systems can be improved (I’m sure you can find some) and how the state of California is evil because they havn’t scrapped lights or blocked change by capping the amount of cars on the road, or come up with some new innovative way to solve the problem, because that new subdivision down the road has a great solution! The reason people care about this stuff is simple…Marketing (lots more on Computers than traffic light technology) and resistance to change. If you find yourself evangelising and caring about something that shouldn’t matter (read Apple)…youv’e just been punked by some marketing guys. (Note to Gen-Y people…your seen as the easiest audience to play with, sorry)

    So…if we consider the wacko idea that time began before the launch of OSX consider this:

    1) Microsoft built a huge part of this industry and gave the world exactly what they asked for with Vista (the lesson for Microsoft here is people don’t know what to ask for). When XP was king all you would ever read about was the unhappy minority talking about the security and blaming MS for every virus that their poor judgement allowed onto their machines (wow by coincidence this is also the time that P2P mp3 and dodgy photo sites ruled the internet…of course it was never on any of the machines left unprotected by Microsoft’s negligence, that was something else). Incidently I ran a machine for 4 years without AV running or a firewall (other than the NAT on my router) and never had a blip of a virus (I still scanned it thanks), because I didn’t use P2P, I didn’t think anyone who loved me would send me an executable attachement or send me money from Kenya and I kept my machine patched.

    And please stop going on and on about Vista UAC (you can turn it off in a lot less time than it takes to complain about it), its in your best interests…and it probably takes less than 30seconds a week of brain power to use.
    …Opps they didn’t pick up the unspoken Gen-Y requirements of “the system should protect me, no matter what I do, it should know my intent and…it can never be my fault,” (Ask yourself how you can secure a car, leave it open for anyone to use then leave it overnight on the wrong side of town…because that’s what your asking for!)

    2) Also still on the Vista bashing…Consider every major OS change has required significant HW updates, I remember installing OS’s early and feeling the pain until I could get new H/W that supported all the features in DOS 3,5,6 …Windows 1,2,3.11,NT,95,98,2000. Oh and I’m typing this on an HP machine labeled “Designed for Windows XP / Vista Compatible” and after a year on XP I loaded Vista…couldn’t be happier…quicker user experience than it was before due to better config file management and drivers, a number of devices are better supported (Bluetooth and Power etc) and if I turn off the Aero stuff…it’s fast as lightning. So if you didn’t do your homework and couldn’t wait…have some personal responsibility here!! I make bad calls all the time (like this email) but learn from it and don’t blame anyone for it.

    3) I’m no stranger to Apple also…I used to use one of the original ones back in 1985, then when I was at University, I upgraded H/W to an LCII …which was outdated in weeks by an LCIII *&^!. Of course then they switched tack completely with the Power PC and then Again with OS X, none of which where backwards or forwards compatible at all (people complain about 90% compatibility with Vista when Apple normally leave you with 0% and wow it costs when you have to replace all your apps)…Remember the comment about marketing about now.

    I have also worked deeply with Apple on the I-Phone launch and as a result of seeing into their organisation will never buy any of their products…I can’t afford to be locked in and kept in the dark (It’s kinda like communism…they say it will be better, but you have to surrender and do everything their way…or perhaps more like prozac). The NDA they tried to make me sign was sobering to say the least and it was also very educational. My opinion was: Apple are a good news factory…they “control everything” god help you if you don’t do what your told. Their goal is to make you love the product, become dependant on the product (through investment of time and funds) and keep you on the hook. This is why you don’t see an SD slot on an I-Pod / I-Phone. Let me be clear here…They make great products and the way they make you love them is to provide a great experince, but they do it for themselves not for you and the it’s not “always” the best (Ever noticed how Mac’s appeal to people, like bait does to Fish!?). Anyone who thinks because they are running Linux and in the minority they are the freedom fighters of the IT industry and that they are fighiting the open standards battle…wake up and smell the marketing. I’m also have great respect for the I’m a MAC campagn’s ability to sett peoples perceptions of Vista. You may have a sense that I am a slight sceptic by now, but even I didn’t realise how much you can manipulate people until I saw what Apple have done here…Great news about the EU looking into I-Tunes anti trust behavior of only supporting their devices!

    4) Linux…Hmmm…doesn’t most of the funding/revenue for the product (through purchasing via product alignment etc) come from Oracle and IBM. Could this be because they don’t have a desktop / client proposition so they need to buy time to defend themselves against Microsoft who’s only place to grow is into their revenue streams? Could it be that the perpetuation of Unix through Linix as a commercial model is largley as a mechanism for Oracle and IBM to strip revenue from Microsoft that they could use to invest in products that enter into their play space? It wasn’t working so well, so now there is a thrust into the office marketplace…who’s paying for that again?

    Who knows, but my money is on IBM here…They are happily cashing in on all their patents and revenue at the top end of town…governments etc they can afford to through a few hundred billion over 10+ years into pushing the revenue out of the low end of the market to keep the $$ out of their challengers pockets or at least slow them down enough to manage.

    6) I guess as I have gone after everyone else here: Google…Marketing…it’s how they make all their money, but we think they don’t use it!? …but I still wish Alta Vista had won the battle, search relivance was much better, but they where out smarted. That said…if you are looking for something that lots of people need to chat to each other about in online forums Google engine provided great results…

    Food for thought anyway…feel free to prove me wrong with a good solid debate!

    -P

  • Phil

    I follow a simple rule…it always works. Go with the people that have the most to loose, if their pockets are deep enough they can even get through a few screw ups and get lost before they find the right track again. If they find the track and are still ahead of the competition they will win.

    There are 100′s of Billions of dollars at stake and there is no shortage of BI in the IT industry to predict the trends…these guys are playing to 5 and 10 year+ strategies…this is more about chess than chance.

    Microsoft have the most to loose in the developer space, and have some of the deepest pockets. That’s where I will be betting my career skills and my salary for the last 20 years in IT has a lot of “thank you microsoft’s in there” …(I’m doing pretty well so far thank you in the top few % of salary in the country, so my bias here is a direct result of hard cash earned by seeing the long term benefits of their strategy).

    -P

    If you want to have a better idea of where my over simplified my thoughts originate from, a few good solid conspiracy theories or a reason to start a fight in the office tomorrow keep reading!

    They are “food for thought” (hopefully not completly off topic as there is some rellivance)
    and the hightly perceptive of you “may” sense a touch of frustration at the Apple converts…but I hope it makes it past the censors for humor and debates sake (If I save even one it will be worth it!).

    Also….consider this: If you disagree with the points below…ask yourself why you feel so strongly about it. Why after all does anyone have an emotional connection to a brand, technology or an operating system. They may effect your mood when your using them (and you loose your work etc) but probably less than say, when your life is put in danger by a car cutting you off on the way to work, or the timing of every set of lights when your in a hurry. But I don’t see many blogs about how the traffic light systems can be improved (I’m sure you can find some) and how the state of California is evil because they havn’t scrapped lights or blocked change by capping the amount of cars on the road, or come up with some new innovative way to solve the problem, because that new subdivision down the road has a great solution! The reason people care about this stuff is simple…Marketing (lots more on Computers than traffic light technology) and resistance to change. If you find yourself evangelising and caring about something that shouldn’t matter (read Apple)…youv’e just been punked by some marketing guys. (Note to Gen-Y people…your seen as the easiest audience to play with, sorry)

    So…if we consider the wacko idea that time began before the launch of OSX consider this:

    1) Microsoft built a huge part of this industry and gave the world exactly what they asked for with Vista (the lesson for Microsoft here is people don’t know what to ask for). When XP was king all you would ever read about was the unhappy minority talking about the security and blaming MS for every virus that their poor judgement allowed onto their machines (wow by coincidence this is also the time that P2P mp3 and dodgy photo sites ruled the internet…of course it was never on any of the machines left unprotected by Microsoft’s negligence, that was something else). Incidently I ran a machine for 4 years without AV running or a firewall (other than the NAT on my router) and never had a blip of a virus (I still scanned it thanks), because I didn’t use P2P, I didn’t think anyone who loved me would send me an executable attachement or send me money from Kenya and I kept my machine patched.

    And please stop going on and on about Vista UAC (you can turn it off in a lot less time than it takes to complain about it), its in your best interests…and it probably takes less than 30seconds a week of brain power to use.
    …Opps they didn’t pick up the unspoken Gen-Y requirements of “the system should protect me, no matter what I do, it should know my intent and…it can never be my fault,” (Ask yourself how you can secure a car, leave it open for anyone to use then leave it overnight on the wrong side of town…because that’s what your asking for!)

    2) Also still on the Vista bashing…Consider every major OS change has required significant HW updates, I remember installing OS’s early and feeling the pain until I could get new H/W that supported all the features in DOS 3,5,6 …Windows 1,2,3.11,NT,95,98,2000. Oh and I’m typing this on an HP machine labeled “Designed for Windows XP / Vista Compatible” and after a year on XP I loaded Vista…couldn’t be happier…quicker user experience than it was before due to better config file management and drivers, a number of devices are better supported (Bluetooth and Power etc) and if I turn off the Aero stuff…it’s fast as lightning. So if you didn’t do your homework and couldn’t wait…have some personal responsibility here!! I make bad calls all the time (like this email) but learn from it and don’t blame anyone for it.

    3) I’m no stranger to Apple also…I used to use one of the original ones back in 1985, then when I was at University, I upgraded H/W to an LCII …which was outdated in weeks by an LCIII *&^!. Of course then they switched tack completely with the Power PC and then Again with OS X, none of which where backwards or forwards compatible at all (people complain about 90% compatibility with Vista when Apple normally leave you with 0% and wow it costs when you have to replace all your apps)…Remember the comment about marketing about now.

    I have also worked deeply with Apple on the I-Phone launch and as a result of seeing into their organisation will never buy any of their products…I can’t afford to be locked in and kept in the dark (It’s kinda like communism…they say it will be better, but you have to surrender and do everything their way…or perhaps more like prozac). The NDA they tried to make me sign was sobering to say the least and it was also very educational. My opinion was: Apple are a good news factory…they “control everything” god help you if you don’t do what your told. Their goal is to make you love the product, become dependant on the product (through investment of time and funds) and keep you on the hook. This is why you don’t see an SD slot on an I-Pod / I-Phone. Let me be clear here…They make great products and the way they make you love them is to provide a great experince, but they do it for themselves not for you and the it’s not “always” the best (Ever noticed how Mac’s appeal to people, like bait does to Fish!?). Anyone who thinks because they are running Linux and in the minority they are the freedom fighters of the IT industry and that they are fighiting the open standards battle…wake up and smell the marketing. I’m also have great respect for the I’m a MAC campagn’s ability to sett peoples perceptions of Vista. You may have a sense that I am a slight sceptic by now, but even I didn’t realise how much you can manipulate people until I saw what Apple have done here…Great news about the EU looking into I-Tunes anti trust behavior of only supporting their devices!

    4) Linux…Hmmm…doesn’t most of the funding/revenue for the product (through purchasing via product alignment etc) come from Oracle and IBM. Could this be because they don’t have a desktop / client proposition so they need to buy time to defend themselves against Microsoft who’s only place to grow is into their revenue streams? Could it be that the perpetuation of Unix through Linix as a commercial model is largley as a mechanism for Oracle and IBM to strip revenue from Microsoft that they could use to invest in products that enter into their play space? It wasn’t working so well, so now there is a thrust into the office marketplace…who’s paying for that again?

    Who knows, but my money is on IBM here…They are happily cashing in on all their patents and revenue at the top end of town…governments etc they can afford to through a few hundred billion over 10+ years into pushing the revenue out of the low end of the market to keep the $$ out of their challengers pockets or at least slow them down enough to manage.

    6) I guess as I have gone after everyone else here: Google…Marketing…it’s how they make all their money, but we think they don’t use it!? …but I still wish Alta Vista had won the battle, search relivance was much better, but they where out smarted. That said…if you are looking for something that lots of people need to chat to each other about in online forums Google engine provided great results…

    Food for thought anyway…feel free to prove me wrong with a good solid debate!

    -P

  • Phil

    I follow a simple rule…it always works. Go with the people that have the most to loose, if their pockets are deep enough they can even get through a few screw ups and get lost before they find the right track again. If they find the track and are still ahead of the competition they will win.

    There are 100′s of Billions of dollars at stake and there is no shortage of BI in the IT industry to predict the trends…these guys are playing to 5 and 10 year+ strategies…this is more about chess than chance.

    Microsoft have the most to loose in the developer space, and have some of the deepest pockets. That’s where I will be betting my career skills and my salary for the last 20 years in IT has a lot of “thank you microsoft’s in there” …(I’m doing pretty well so far thank you in the top few % of salary in the country, so my bias here is a direct result of hard cash earned by seeing the long term benefits of their strategy).

    -P

    If you want to have a better idea of where my over simplified my thoughts originate from, a few good solid conspiracy theories or a reason to start a fight in the office tomorrow keep reading!

    They are “food for thought” (hopefully not completly off topic as there is some rellivance)
    and the hightly perceptive of you “may” sense a touch of frustration at the Apple converts…but I hope it makes it past the censors for humor and debates sake (If I save even one it will be worth it!).

    Also….consider this: If you disagree with the points below…ask yourself why you feel so strongly about it. Why after all does anyone have an emotional connection to a brand, technology or an operating system. They may effect your mood when your using them (and you loose your work etc) but probably less than say, when your life is put in danger by a car cutting you off on the way to work, or the timing of every set of lights when your in a hurry. But I don’t see many blogs about how the traffic light systems can be improved (I’m sure you can find some) and how the state of California is evil because they havn’t scrapped lights or blocked change by capping the amount of cars on the road, or come up with some new innovative way to solve the problem, because that new subdivision down the road has a great solution! The reason people care about this stuff is simple…Marketing (lots more on Computers than traffic light technology) and resistance to change. If you find yourself evangelising and caring about something that shouldn’t matter (read Apple)…youv’e just been punked by some marketing guys. (Note to Gen-Y people…your seen as the easiest audience to play with, sorry)

    So…if we consider the wacko idea that time began before the launch of OSX consider this:

    1) Microsoft built a huge part of this industry and gave the world exactly what they asked for with Vista (the lesson for Microsoft here is people don’t know what to ask for). When XP was king all you would ever read about was the unhappy minority talking about the security and blaming MS for every virus that their poor judgement allowed onto their machines (wow by coincidence this is also the time that P2P mp3 and dodgy photo sites ruled the internet…of course it was never on any of the machines left unprotected by Microsoft’s negligence, that was something else). Incidently I ran a machine for 4 years without AV running or a firewall (other than the NAT on my router) and never had a blip of a virus (I still scanned it thanks), because I didn’t use P2P, I didn’t think anyone who loved me would send me an executable attachement or send me money from Kenya and I kept my machine patched.

    And please stop going on and on about Vista UAC (you can turn it off in a lot less time than it takes to complain about it), its in your best interests…and it probably takes less than 30seconds a week of brain power to use.
    …Opps they didn’t pick up the unspoken Gen-Y requirements of “the system should protect me, no matter what I do, it should know my intent and…it can never be my fault,” (Ask yourself how you can secure a car, leave it open for anyone to use then leave it overnight on the wrong side of town…because that’s what your asking for!)

    2) Also still on the Vista bashing…Consider every major OS change has required significant HW updates, I remember installing OS’s early and feeling the pain until I could get new H/W that supported all the features in DOS 3,5,6 …Windows 1,2,3.11,NT,95,98,2000. Oh and I’m typing this on an HP machine labeled “Designed for Windows XP / Vista Compatible” and after a year on XP I loaded Vista…couldn’t be happier…quicker user experience than it was before due to better config file management and drivers, a number of devices are better supported (Bluetooth and Power etc) and if I turn off the Aero stuff…it’s fast as lightning. So if you didn’t do your homework and couldn’t wait…have some personal responsibility here!! I make bad calls all the time (like this email) but learn from it and don’t blame anyone for it.

    3) I’m no stranger to Apple also…I used to use one of the original ones back in 1985, then when I was at University, I upgraded H/W to an LCII …which was outdated in weeks by an LCIII *&^!. Of course then they switched tack completely with the Power PC and then Again with OS X, none of which where backwards or forwards compatible at all (people complain about 90% compatibility with Vista when Apple normally leave you with 0% and wow it costs when you have to replace all your apps)…Remember the comment about marketing about now.

    I have also worked deeply with Apple on the I-Phone launch and as a result of seeing into their organisation will never buy any of their products…I can’t afford to be locked in and kept in the dark (It’s kinda like communism…they say it will be better, but you have to surrender and do everything their way…or perhaps more like prozac). The NDA they tried to make me sign was sobering to say the least and it was also very educational. My opinion was: Apple are a good news factory…they “control everything” god help you if you don’t do what your told. Their goal is to make you love the product, become dependant on the product (through investment of time and funds) and keep you on the hook. This is why you don’t see an SD slot on an I-Pod / I-Phone. Let me be clear here…They make great products and the way they make you love them is to provide a great experince, but they do it for themselves not for you and the it’s not “always” the best (Ever noticed how Mac’s appeal to people, like bait does to Fish!?). Anyone who thinks because they are running Linux and in the minority they are the freedom fighters of the IT industry and that they are fighiting the open standards battle…wake up and smell the marketing. I’m also have great respect for the I’m a MAC campagn’s ability to sett peoples perceptions of Vista. You may have a sense that I am a slight sceptic by now, but even I didn’t realise how much you can manipulate people until I saw what Apple have done here…Great news about the EU looking into I-Tunes anti trust behavior of only supporting their devices!

    4) Linux…Hmmm…doesn’t most of the funding/revenue for the product (through purchasing via product alignment etc) come from Oracle and IBM. Could this be because they don’t have a desktop / client proposition so they need to buy time to defend themselves against Microsoft who’s only place to grow is into their revenue streams? Could it be that the perpetuation of Unix through Linix as a commercial model is largley as a mechanism for Oracle and IBM to strip revenue from Microsoft that they could use to invest in products that enter into their play space? It wasn’t working so well, so now there is a thrust into the office marketplace…who’s paying for that again?

    Who knows, but my money is on IBM here…They are happily cashing in on all their patents and revenue at the top end of town…governments etc they can afford to through a few hundred billion over 10+ years into pushing the revenue out of the low end of the market to keep the $$ out of their challengers pockets or at least slow them down enough to manage.

    6) I guess as I have gone after everyone else here: Google…Marketing…it’s how they make all their money, but we think they don’t use it!? …but I still wish Alta Vista had won the battle, search relivance was much better, but they where out smarted. That said…if you are looking for something that lots of people need to chat to each other about in online forums Google engine provided great results…

    Food for thought anyway…feel free to prove me wrong with a good solid debate!

    -P

  • Phil

    I follow a simple rule…it always works. Go with the people that have the most to loose, if their pockets are deep enough they can even get through a few screw ups and get lost before they find the right track again. If they find the track and are still ahead of the competition they will win.

    There are 100′s of Billions of dollars at stake and there is no shortage of BI in the IT industry to predict the trends…these guys are playing to 5 and 10 year+ strategies…this is more about chess than chance.

    Microsoft have the most to loose in the developer space, and have some of the deepest pockets. That’s where I will be betting my career skills and my salary for the last 20 years in IT has a lot of “thank you microsoft’s in there” …(I’m doing pretty well so far thank you in the top few % of salary in the country, so my bias here is a direct result of hard cash earned by seeing the long term benefits of their strategy).

    -P

    If you want to have a better idea of where my over simplified my thoughts originate from, a few good solid conspiracy theories or a reason to start a fight in the office tomorrow keep reading!

    They are “food for thought” (hopefully not completly off topic as there is some rellivance)
    and the hightly perceptive of you “may” sense a touch of frustration at the Apple converts…but I hope it makes it past the censors for humor and debates sake (If I save even one it will be worth it!).

    Also….consider this: If you disagree with the points below…ask yourself why you feel so strongly about it. Why after all does anyone have an emotional connection to a brand, technology or an operating system. They may effect your mood when your using them (and you loose your work etc) but probably less than say, when your life is put in danger by a car cutting you off on the way to work, or the timing of every set of lights when your in a hurry. But I don’t see many blogs about how the traffic light systems can be improved (I’m sure you can find some) and how the state of California is evil because they havn’t scrapped lights or blocked change by capping the amount of cars on the road, or come up with some new innovative way to solve the problem, because that new subdivision down the road has a great solution! The reason people care about this stuff is simple…Marketing (lots more on Computers than traffic light technology) and resistance to change. If you find yourself evangelising and caring about something that shouldn’t matter (read Apple)…youv’e just been punked by some marketing guys. (Note to Gen-Y people…your seen as the easiest audience to play with, sorry)

    So…if we consider the wacko idea that time began before the launch of OSX consider this:

    1) Microsoft built a huge part of this industry and gave the world exactly what they asked for with Vista (the lesson for Microsoft here is people don’t know what to ask for). When XP was king all you would ever read about was the unhappy minority talking about the security and blaming MS for every virus that their poor judgement allowed onto their machines (wow by coincidence this is also the time that P2P mp3 and dodgy photo sites ruled the internet…of course it was never on any of the machines left unprotected by Microsoft’s negligence, that was something else). Incidently I ran a machine for 4 years without AV running or a firewall (other than the NAT on my router) and never had a blip of a virus (I still scanned it thanks), because I didn’t use P2P, I didn’t think anyone who loved me would send me an executable attachement or send me money from Kenya and I kept my machine patched.

    And please stop going on and on about Vista UAC (you can turn it off in a lot less time than it takes to complain about it), its in your best interests…and it probably takes less than 30seconds a week of brain power to use.
    …Opps they didn’t pick up the unspoken Gen-Y requirements of “the system should protect me, no matter what I do, it should know my intent and…it can never be my fault,” (Ask yourself how you can secure a car, leave it open for anyone to use then leave it overnight on the wrong side of town…because that’s what your asking for!)

    2) Also still on the Vista bashing…Consider every major OS change has required significant HW updates, I remember installing OS’s early and feeling the pain until I could get new H/W that supported all the features in DOS 3,5,6 …Windows 1,2,3.11,NT,95,98,2000. Oh and I’m typing this on an HP machine labeled “Designed for Windows XP / Vista Compatible” and after a year on XP I loaded Vista…couldn’t be happier…quicker user experience than it was before due to better config file management and drivers, a number of devices are better supported (Bluetooth and Power etc) and if I turn off the Aero stuff…it’s fast as lightning. So if you didn’t do your homework and couldn’t wait…have some personal responsibility here!! I make bad calls all the time (like this email) but learn from it and don’t blame anyone for it.

    3) I’m no stranger to Apple also…I used to use one of the original ones back in 1985, then when I was at University, I upgraded H/W to an LCII …which was outdated in weeks by an LCIII *&^!. Of course then they switched tack completely with the Power PC and then Again with OS X, none of which where backwards or forwards compatible at all (people complain about 90% compatibility with Vista when Apple normally leave you with 0% and wow it costs when you have to replace all your apps)…Remember the comment about marketing about now.

    I have also worked deeply with Apple on the I-Phone launch and as a result of seeing into their organisation will never buy any of their products…I can’t afford to be locked in and kept in the dark (It’s kinda like communism…they say it will be better, but you have to surrender and do everything their way…or perhaps more like prozac). The NDA they tried to make me sign was sobering to say the least and it was also very educational. My opinion was: Apple are a good news factory…they “control everything” god help you if you don’t do what your told. Their goal is to make you love the product, become dependant on the product (through investment of time and funds) and keep you on the hook. This is why you don’t see an SD slot on an I-Pod / I-Phone. Let me be clear here…They make great products and the way they make you love them is to provide a great experince, but they do it for themselves not for you and the it’s not “always” the best (Ever noticed how Mac’s appeal to people, like bait does to Fish!?). Anyone who thinks because they are running Linux and in the minority they are the freedom fighters of the IT industry and that they are fighiting the open standards battle…wake up and smell the marketing. I’m also have great respect for the I’m a MAC campagn’s ability to sett peoples perceptions of Vista. You may have a sense that I am a slight sceptic by now, but even I didn’t realise how much you can manipulate people until I saw what Apple have done here…Great news about the EU looking into I-Tunes anti trust behavior of only supporting their devices!

    4) Linux…Hmmm…doesn’t most of the funding/revenue for the product (through purchasing via product alignment etc) come from Oracle and IBM. Could this be because they don’t have a desktop / client proposition so they need to buy time to defend themselves against Microsoft who’s only place to grow is into their revenue streams? Could it be that the perpetuation of Unix through Linix as a commercial model is largley as a mechanism for Oracle and IBM to strip revenue from Microsoft that they could use to invest in products that enter into their play space? It wasn’t working so well, so now there is a thrust into the office marketplace…who’s paying for that again?

    Who knows, but my money is on IBM here…They are happily cashing in on all their patents and revenue at the top end of town…governments etc they can afford to through a few hundred billion over 10+ years into pushing the revenue out of the low end of the market to keep the $$ out of their challengers pockets or at least slow them down enough to manage.

    6) I guess as I have gone after everyone else here: Google…Marketing…it’s how they make all their money, but we think they don’t use it!? …but I still wish Alta Vista had won the battle, search relivance was much better, but they where out smarted. That said…if you are looking for something that lots of people need to chat to each other about in online forums Google engine provided great results…

    Food for thought anyway…feel free to prove me wrong with a good solid debate!

    -P

  • Phil

    I follow a simple rule…it always works. Go with the people that have the most to loose, if their pockets are deep enough they can even get through a few screw ups and get lost before they find the right track again. If they find the track and are still ahead of the competition they will win.

    There are 100′s of Billions of dollars at stake and there is no shortage of BI in the IT industry to predict the trends…these guys are playing to 5 and 10 year+ strategies…this is more about chess than chance.

    Microsoft have the most to loose in the developer space, and have some of the deepest pockets. That’s where I will be betting my career skills and my salary for the last 20 years in IT has a lot of “thank you microsoft’s in there” …(I’m doing pretty well so far thank you in the top few % of salary in the country, so my bias here is a direct result of hard cash earned by seeing the long term benefits of their strategy).

    -P

    If you want to have a better idea of where my over simplified my thoughts originate from, a few good solid conspiracy theories or a reason to start a fight in the office tomorrow keep reading!

    They are “food for thought” (hopefully not completly off topic as there is some rellivance)
    and the hightly perceptive of you “may” sense a touch of frustration at the Apple converts…but I hope it makes it past the censors for humor and debates sake (If I save even one it will be worth it!).

    Also….consider this: If you disagree with the points below…ask yourself why you feel so strongly about it. Why after all does anyone have an emotional connection to a brand, technology or an operating system. They may effect your mood when your using them (and you loose your work etc) but probably less than say, when your life is put in danger by a car cutting you off on the way to work, or the timing of every set of lights when your in a hurry. But I don’t see many blogs about how the traffic light systems can be improved (I’m sure you can find some) and how the state of California is evil because they havn’t scrapped lights or blocked change by capping the amount of cars on the road, or come up with some new innovative way to solve the problem, because that new subdivision down the road has a great solution! The reason people care about this stuff is simple…Marketing (lots more on Computers than traffic light technology) and resistance to change. If you find yourself evangelising and caring about something that shouldn’t matter (read Apple)…youv’e just been punked by some marketing guys. (Note to Gen-Y people…your seen as the easiest audience to play with, sorry)

    So…if we consider the wacko idea that time began before the launch of OSX consider this:

    1) Microsoft built a huge part of this industry and gave the world exactly what they asked for with Vista (the lesson for Microsoft here is people don’t know what to ask for). When XP was king all you would ever read about was the unhappy minority talking about the security and blaming MS for every virus that their poor judgement allowed onto their machines (wow by coincidence this is also the time that P2P mp3 and dodgy photo sites ruled the internet…of course it was never on any of the machines left unprotected by Microsoft’s negligence, that was something else). Incidently I ran a machine for 4 years without AV running or a firewall (other than the NAT on my router) and never had a blip of a virus (I still scanned it thanks), because I didn’t use P2P, I didn’t think anyone who loved me would send me an executable attachement or send me money from Kenya and I kept my machine patched.

    And please stop going on and on about Vista UAC (you can turn it off in a lot less time than it takes to complain about it), its in your best interests…and it probably takes less than 30seconds a week of brain power to use.
    …Opps they didn’t pick up the unspoken Gen-Y requirements of “the system should protect me, no matter what I do, it should know my intent and…it can never be my fault,” (Ask yourself how you can secure a car, leave it open for anyone to use then leave it overnight on the wrong side of town…because that’s what your asking for!)

    2) Also still on the Vista bashing…Consider every major OS change has required significant HW updates, I remember installing OS’s early and feeling the pain until I could get new H/W that supported all the features in DOS 3,5,6 …Windows 1,2,3.11,NT,95,98,2000. Oh and I’m typing this on an HP machine labeled “Designed for Windows XP / Vista Compatible” and after a year on XP I loaded Vista…couldn’t be happier…quicker user experience than it was before due to better config file management and drivers, a number of devices are better supported (Bluetooth and Power etc) and if I turn off the Aero stuff…it’s fast as lightning. So if you didn’t do your homework and couldn’t wait…have some personal responsibility here!! I make bad calls all the time (like this email) but learn from it and don’t blame anyone for it.

    3) I’m no stranger to Apple also…I used to use one of the original ones back in 1985, then when I was at University, I upgraded H/W to an LCII …which was outdated in weeks by an LCIII *&^!. Of course then they switched tack completely with the Power PC and then Again with OS X, none of which where backwards or forwards compatible at all (people complain about 90% compatibility with Vista when Apple normally leave you with 0% and wow it costs when you have to replace all your apps)…Remember the comment about marketing about now.

    I have also worked deeply with Apple on the I-Phone launch and as a result of seeing into their organisation will never buy any of their products…I can’t afford to be locked in and kept in the dark (It’s kinda like communism…they say it will be better, but you have to surrender and do everything their way…or perhaps more like prozac). The NDA they tried to make me sign was sobering to say the least and it was also very educational. My opinion was: Apple are a good news factory…they “control everything” god help you if you don’t do what your told. Their goal is to make you love the product, become dependant on the product (through investment of time and funds) and keep you on the hook. This is why you don’t see an SD slot on an I-Pod / I-Phone. Let me be clear here…They make great products and the way they make you love them is to provide a great experince, but they do it for themselves not for you and the it’s not “always” the best (Ever noticed how Mac’s appeal to people, like bait does to Fish!?). Anyone who thinks because they are running Linux and in the minority they are the freedom fighters of the IT industry and that they are fighiting the open standards battle…wake up and smell the marketing. I’m also have great respect for the I’m a MAC campagn’s ability to sett peoples perceptions of Vista. You may have a sense that I am a slight sceptic by now, but even I didn’t realise how much you can manipulate people until I saw what Apple have done here…Great news about the EU looking into I-Tunes anti trust behavior of only supporting their devices!

    4) Linux…Hmmm…doesn’t most of the funding/revenue for the product (through purchasing via product alignment etc) come from Oracle and IBM. Could this be because they don’t have a desktop / client proposition so they need to buy time to defend themselves against Microsoft who’s only place to grow is into their revenue streams? Could it be that the perpetuation of Unix through Linix as a commercial model is largley as a mechanism for Oracle and IBM to strip revenue from Microsoft that they could use to invest in products that enter into their play space? It wasn’t working so well, so now there is a thrust into the office marketplace…who’s paying for that again?

    Who knows, but my money is on IBM here…They are happily cashing in on all their patents and revenue at the top end of town…governments etc they can afford to through a few hundred billion over 10+ years into pushing the revenue out of the low end of the market to keep the $$ out of their challengers pockets or at least slow them down enough to manage.

    6) I guess as I have gone after everyone else here: Google…Marketing…it’s how they make all their money, but we think they don’t use it!? …but I still wish Alta Vista had won the battle, search relivance was much better, but they where out smarted. That said…if you are looking for something that lots of people need to chat to each other about in online forums Google engine provided great results…

    Food for thought anyway…feel free to prove me wrong with a good solid debate!

    -P

  • Phil

    I follow a simple rule…it always works. Go with the people that have the most to loose, if their pockets are deep enough they can even get through a few screw ups and get lost before they find the right track again. If they find the track and are still ahead of the competition they will win.

    There are 100′s of Billions of dollars at stake and there is no shortage of BI in the IT industry to predict the trends…these guys are playing to 5 and 10 year+ strategies…this is more about chess than chance.

    Microsoft have the most to loose in the developer space, and have some of the deepest pockets. That’s where I will be betting my career skills and my salary for the last 20 years in IT has a lot of “thank you microsoft’s in there” …(I’m doing pretty well so far thank you in the top few % of salary in the country, so my bias here is a direct result of hard cash earned by seeing the long term benefits of their strategy).

    -P

    If you want to have a better idea of where my over simplified my thoughts originate from, a few good solid conspiracy theories or a reason to start a fight in the office tomorrow keep reading!

    They are “food for thought” (hopefully not completly off topic as there is some rellivance)
    and the hightly perceptive of you “may” sense a touch of frustration at the Apple converts…but I hope it makes it past the censors for humor and debates sake (If I save even one it will be worth it!).

    Also….consider this: If you disagree with the points below…ask yourself why you feel so strongly about it. Why after all does anyone have an emotional connection to a brand, technology or an operating system. They may effect your mood when your using them (and you loose your work etc) but probably less than say, when your life is put in danger by a car cutting you off on the way to work, or the timing of every set of lights when your in a hurry. But I don’t see many blogs about how the traffic light systems can be improved (I’m sure you can find some) and how the state of California is evil because they havn’t scrapped lights or blocked change by capping the amount of cars on the road, or come up with some new innovative way to solve the problem, because that new subdivision down the road has a great solution! The reason people care about this stuff is simple…Marketing (lots more on Computers than traffic light technology) and resistance to change. If you find yourself evangelising and caring about something that shouldn’t matter (read Apple)…youv’e just been punked by some marketing guys. (Note to Gen-Y people…your seen as the easiest audience to play with, sorry)

    So…if we consider the wacko idea that time began before the launch of OSX consider this:

    1) Microsoft built a huge part of this industry and gave the world exactly what they asked for with Vista (the lesson for Microsoft here is people don’t know what to ask for). When XP was king all you would ever read about was the unhappy minority talking about the security and blaming MS for every virus that their poor judgement allowed onto their machines (wow by coincidence this is also the time that P2P mp3 and dodgy photo sites ruled the internet…of course it was never on any of the machines left unprotected by Microsoft’s negligence, that was something else). Incidently I ran a machine for 4 years without AV running or a firewall (other than the NAT on my router) and never had a blip of a virus (I still scanned it thanks), because I didn’t use P2P, I didn’t think anyone who loved me would send me an executable attachement or send me money from Kenya and I kept my machine patched.

    And please stop going on and on about Vista UAC (you can turn it off in a lot less time than it takes to complain about it), its in your best interests…and it probably takes less than 30seconds a week of brain power to use.
    …Opps they didn’t pick up the unspoken Gen-Y requirements of “the system should protect me, no matter what I do, it should know my intent and…it can never be my fault,” (Ask yourself how you can secure a car, leave it open for anyone to use then leave it overnight on the wrong side of town…because that’s what your asking for!)

    2) Also still on the Vista bashing…Consider every major OS change has required significant HW updates, I remember installing OS’s early and feeling the pain until I could get new H/W that supported all the features in DOS 3,5,6 …Windows 1,2,3.11,NT,95,98,2000. Oh and I’m typing this on an HP machine labeled “Designed for Windows XP / Vista Compatible” and after a year on XP I loaded Vista…couldn’t be happier…quicker user experience than it was before due to better config file management and drivers, a number of devices are better supported (Bluetooth and Power etc) and if I turn off the Aero stuff…it’s fast as lightning. So if you didn’t do your homework and couldn’t wait…have some personal responsibility here!! I make bad calls all the time (like this email) but learn from it and don’t blame anyone for it.

    3) I’m no stranger to Apple also…I used to use one of the original ones back in 1985, then when I was at University, I upgraded H/W to an LCII …which was outdated in weeks by an LCIII *&^!. Of course then they switched tack completely with the Power PC and then Again with OS X, none of which where backwards or forwards compatible at all (people complain about 90% compatibility with Vista when Apple normally leave you with 0% and wow it costs when you have to replace all your apps)…Remember the comment about marketing about now.

    I have also worked deeply with Apple on the I-Phone launch and as a result of seeing into their organisation will never buy any of their products…I can’t afford to be locked in and kept in the dark (It’s kinda like communism…they say it will be better, but you have to surrender and do everything their way…or perhaps more like prozac). The NDA they tried to make me sign was sobering to say the least and it was also very educational. My opinion was: Apple are a good news factory…they “control everything” god help you if you don’t do what your told. Their goal is to make you love the product, become dependant on the product (through investment of time and funds) and keep you on the hook. This is why you don’t see an SD slot on an I-Pod / I-Phone. Let me be clear here…They make great products and the way they make you love them is to provide a great experince, but they do it for themselves not for you and the it’s not “always” the best (Ever noticed how Mac’s appeal to people, like bait does to Fish!?). Anyone who thinks because they are running Linux and in the minority they are the freedom fighters of the IT industry and that they are fighiting the open standards battle…wake up and smell the marketing. I’m also have great respect for the I’m a MAC campagn’s ability to sett peoples perceptions of Vista. You may have a sense that I am a slight sceptic by now, but even I didn’t realise how much you can manipulate people until I saw what Apple have done here…Great news about the EU looking into I-Tunes anti trust behavior of only supporting their devices!

    4) Linux…Hmmm…doesn’t most of the funding/revenue for the product (through purchasing via product alignment etc) come from Oracle and IBM. Could this be because they don’t have a desktop / client proposition so they need to buy time to defend themselves against Microsoft who’s only place to grow is into their revenue streams? Could it be that the perpetuation of Unix through Linix as a commercial model is largley as a mechanism for Oracle and IBM to strip revenue from Microsoft that they could use to invest in products that enter into their play space? It wasn’t working so well, so now there is a thrust into the office marketplace…who’s paying for that again?

    Who knows, but my money is on IBM here…They are happily cashing in on all their patents and revenue at the top end of town…governments etc they can afford to through a few hundred billion over 10+ years into pushing the revenue out of the low end of the market to keep the $$ out of their challengers pockets or at least slow them down enough to manage.

    6) I guess as I have gone after everyone else here: Google…Marketing…it’s how they make all their money, but we think they don’t use it!? …but I still wish Alta Vista had won the battle, search relivance was much better, but they where out smarted. That said…if you are looking for something that lots of people need to chat to each other about in online forums Google engine provided great results…

    Food for thought anyway…feel free to prove me wrong with a good solid debate!

    -P

  • Phil

    I follow a simple rule…it always works. Go with the people that have the most to loose, if their pockets are deep enough they can even get through a few screw ups and get lost before they find the right track again. If they find the track and are still ahead of the competition they will win.

    There are 100′s of Billions of dollars at stake and there is no shortage of BI in the IT industry to predict the trends…these guys are playing to 5 and 10 year+ strategies…this is more about chess than chance.

    Microsoft have the most to loose in the developer space, and have some of the deepest pockets. That’s where I will be betting my career skills and my salary for the last 20 years in IT has a lot of “thank you microsoft’s in there” …(I’m doing pretty well so far thank you in the top few % of salary in the country, so my bias here is a direct result of hard cash earned by seeing the long term benefits of their strategy).

    -P

    If you want to have a better idea of where my over simplified my thoughts originate from, a few good solid conspiracy theories or a reason to start a fight in the office tomorrow keep reading!

    They are “food for thought” (hopefully not completly off topic as there is some rellivance)
    and the hightly perceptive of you “may” sense a touch of frustration at the Apple converts…but I hope it makes it past the censors for humor and debates sake (If I save even one it will be worth it!).

    Also….consider this: If you disagree with the points below…ask yourself why you feel so strongly about it. Why after all does anyone have an emotional connection to a brand, technology or an operating system. They may effect your mood when your using them (and you loose your work etc) but probably less than say, when your life is put in danger by a car cutting you off on the way to work, or the timing of every set of lights when your in a hurry. But I don’t see many blogs about how the traffic light systems can be improved (I’m sure you can find some) and how the state of California is evil because they havn’t scrapped lights or blocked change by capping the amount of cars on the road, or come up with some new innovative way to solve the problem, because that new subdivision down the road has a great solution! The reason people care about this stuff is simple…Marketing (lots more on Computers than traffic light technology) and resistance to change. If you find yourself evangelising and caring about something that shouldn’t matter (read Apple)…youv’e just been punked by some marketing guys. (Note to Gen-Y people…your seen as the easiest audience to play with, sorry)

    So…if we consider the wacko idea that time began before the launch of OSX consider this:

    1) Microsoft built a huge part of this industry and gave the world exactly what they asked for with Vista (the lesson for Microsoft here is people don’t know what to ask for). When XP was king all you would ever read about was the unhappy minority talking about the security and blaming MS for every virus that their poor judgement allowed onto their machines (wow by coincidence this is also the time that P2P mp3 and dodgy photo sites ruled the internet…of course it was never on any of the machines left unprotected by Microsoft’s negligence, that was something else). Incidently I ran a machine for 4 years without AV running or a firewall (other than the NAT on my router) and never had a blip of a virus (I still scanned it thanks), because I didn’t use P2P, I didn’t think anyone who loved me would send me an executable attachement or send me money from Kenya and I kept my machine patched.

    And please stop going on and on about Vista UAC (you can turn it off in a lot less time than it takes to complain about it), its in your best interests…and it probably takes less than 30seconds a week of brain power to use.
    …Opps they didn’t pick up the unspoken Gen-Y requirements of “the system should protect me, no matter what I do, it should know my intent and…it can never be my fault,” (Ask yourself how you can secure a car, leave it open for anyone to use then leave it overnight on the wrong side of town…because that’s what your asking for!)

    2) Also still on the Vista bashing…Consider every major OS change has required significant HW updates, I remember installing OS’s early and feeling the pain until I could get new H/W that supported all the features in DOS 3,5,6 …Windows 1,2,3.11,NT,95,98,2000. Oh and I’m typing this on an HP machine labeled “Designed for Windows XP / Vista Compatible” and after a year on XP I loaded Vista…couldn’t be happier…quicker user experience than it was before due to better config file management and drivers, a number of devices are better supported (Bluetooth and Power etc) and if I turn off the Aero stuff…it’s fast as lightning. So if you didn’t do your homework and couldn’t wait…have some personal responsibility here!! I make bad calls all the time (like this email) but learn from it and don’t blame anyone for it.

    3) I’m no stranger to Apple also…I used to use one of the original ones back in 1985, then when I was at University, I upgraded H/W to an LCII …which was outdated in weeks by an LCIII *&^!. Of course then they switched tack completely with the Power PC and then Again with OS X, none of which where backwards or forwards compatible at all (people complain about 90% compatibility with Vista when Apple normally leave you with 0% and wow it costs when you have to replace all your apps)…Remember the comment about marketing about now.

    I have also worked deeply with Apple on the I-Phone launch and as a result of seeing into their organisation will never buy any of their products…I can’t afford to be locked in and kept in the dark (It’s kinda like communism…they say it will be better, but you have to surrender and do everything their way…or perhaps more like prozac). The NDA they tried to make me sign was sobering to say the least and it was also very educational. My opinion was: Apple are a good news factory…they “control everything” god help you if you don’t do what your told. Their goal is to make you love the product, become dependant on the product (through investment of time and funds) and keep you on the hook. This is why you don’t see an SD slot on an I-Pod / I-Phone. Let me be clear here…They make great products and the way they make you love them is to provide a great experince, but they do it for themselves not for you and the it’s not “always” the best (Ever noticed how Mac’s appeal to people, like bait does to Fish!?). Anyone who thinks because they are running Linux and in the minority they are the freedom fighters of the IT industry and that they are fighiting the open standards battle…wake up and smell the marketing. I’m also have great respect for the I’m a MAC campagn’s ability to sett peoples perceptions of Vista. You may have a sense that I am a slight sceptic by now, but even I didn’t realise how much you can manipulate people until I saw what Apple have done here…Great news about the EU looking into I-Tunes anti trust behavior of only supporting their devices!

    4) Linux…Hmmm…doesn’t most of the funding/revenue for the product (through purchasing via product alignment etc) come from Oracle and IBM. Could this be because they don’t have a desktop / client proposition so they need to buy time to defend themselves against Microsoft who’s only place to grow is into their revenue streams? Could it be that the perpetuation of Unix through Linix as a commercial model is largley as a mechanism for Oracle and IBM to strip revenue from Microsoft that they could use to invest in products that enter into their play space? It wasn’t working so well, so now there is a thrust into the office marketplace…who’s paying for that again?

    Who knows, but my money is on IBM here…They are happily cashing in on all their patents and revenue at the top end of town…governments etc they can afford to through a few hundred billion over 10+ years into pushing the revenue out of the low end of the market to keep the $$ out of their challengers pockets or at least slow them down enough to manage.

    6) I guess as I have gone after everyone else here: Google…Marketing…it’s how they make all their money, but we think they don’t use it!? …but I still wish Alta Vista had won the battle, search relivance was much better, but they where out smarted. That said…if you are looking for something that lots of people need to chat to each other about in online forums Google engine provided great results…

    Food for thought anyway…feel free to prove me wrong with a good solid debate!

    -P

  • Smeagol

    You can safely ignore these announcements from MS.

    Win7 == Vista SP2

    Amazing it’s taking so long to get that blob of spaghetti to work in a semi-reasonable fashion.

    Ozzie turned that steam boat right into Ballmer’s path. Once they strike iceberg-Ballmer, it’ll continue to sink, just as it’s doing right now!

  • Smeagol

    You can safely ignore these announcements from MS.

    Win7 == Vista SP2

    Amazing it’s taking so long to get that blob of spaghetti to work in a semi-reasonable fashion.

    Ozzie turned that steam boat right into Ballmer’s path. Once they strike iceberg-Ballmer, it’ll continue to sink, just as it’s doing right now!

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  • Henry Winckelmann

    Microsoft have never turned a corner in their collective lives.

  • Henry Winckelmann

    Microsoft have never turned a corner in their collective lives.

  • http://blog.robdolin.com/ Rob Dolin

    It’s for sure a very exciting time, but it’s not just Ray Ozzie driving these changes, there are thousands of individual engineers who help to make all of this stuff happen.

  • http://blog.robdolin.com/ Rob Dolin

    It’s for sure a very exciting time, but it’s not just Ray Ozzie driving these changes, there are thousands of individual engineers who help to make all of this stuff happen.

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  • tom Barta

    MSFT and “the Cloud” are a stillborn combination. Who’s dumb enough to trust private data on the web with MSFT’s history regarding data security?

  • tom Barta

    MSFT and “the Cloud” are a stillborn combination. Who’s dumb enough to trust private data on the web with MSFT’s history regarding data security?

  • tom Barta

    MSFT and “the Cloud” are a stillborn combination. Who’s dumb enough to trust private data on the web with MSFT’s history regarding data security?