The coming automatic, freaky, contextual world and why we’re writing a book about it

Robert Scoble and Google Co-Founder Sergey Brin at Last Night's Dinner in the Dark in San Francisco

First, the short version of today’s news. Shel Israel and I are collaborating on a book, titled, The Age of Context: How it Will Change Your Life and Work.

The long version:

A new world is coming. It’s scary. Freaky. Over the freaky line, if you will. But it is coming. Investors like Ron Conway and Marc Andreessen are investing in it. Companies from Google to startups you’ve never heard of, like Wovyn or Highlight, are building it. With more than a couple of new ones already on the way that you’ll hear about over the next six months.

First, the trends. We’re seeing something new happen because of:

1. Proliferation of always-connected sensors.
2. New kinds of cloud-based databases.
3. New kinds of contextual SDKs.
4. A maturing in social data that nearly everyone is participating in.
5. Wearable computers and sensors like the Nike FuelBand, FitBit, and soon the Google Glasses.

More on these trends later in this post.

This new, automatic world, is already coming. Highlight tells you when people who are using Highlight are nearby. Automatically. Google Now tells you to leave early for your next appointment because traffic is bad. Automatically. PlaceMe checks me into every place I enter. Automatically (including places you might not want others to know about, like churches and strip clubs).

We’ve also seen several other examples that are coming over the next few weeks. A TV guide that shows you stuff to watch. Automatically. Based on who you are. A contextual system that watches Gmail and Google Calendar and tells you stuff that it learns. A photo app that sends photos to each other automatically if you photograph them together. And then there’s the Google Glasses (AKA Project Glass) that will tell you stuff about your world before you knew you needed to know. There is a new toy coming this Christmas that will entertain your kids and change depending on the context they are in (it will know it’s a rainy day, for instance, and will change their behavior accordingly). New kinds of algorithmic customer support is being developed by retailers and even at Rackspace that will answer your questions differently depending on your context (we are developing ways to figure out that you aren’t happy before you even call and yell at us, for instance, Rackspace has hired one of the world’s experts here, Harry Max, but we aren’t the only ones thinking about this). We’ve already talked to automobile companies that are thinking about this in a big way (and even startups like Waze are trying to show you stuff about the road before you get there).

Add to that new kinds of software developer kits coming from major companies like Qualcomm (AKA Gimbal), which will gather this new kind of contextual data together, send it off to cloud servers, where developers can build new kinds of apps that will, in real time, hook up to all sorts of databases about us and the businesses we buy from or work for, and bring us back interesting smart alerts and more.

Our announcement this morning: The Age of Context: How it Will Change Your Life and Work

Anyway, it’s very clear to us that there’s a major new trend underway and, so, today I’m announcing that I’m writing a book together with my pal, and Forbes author, Shel Israel (we wrote a book that kicked off the social age seven years ago, called “Naked Conversations” that is still being used in Universities and as a guide to corporate communicators). His take on the book is up on the Forbes Blog, or will be soon.

We will take on the fears of this new world and explain why users will end up giving over their most private of information. You will store everything you do in life in this system and, to most, that is extremely scary. Yes, these systems can even tell when you are having sex and, worse of all, will know what brands you like and where your favorite gas station is. Way over the freaky line for most people, at least today, this future is coming and coming fast thanks to a new range of sensors and contextual SDKs (software developer kits) that will sit on our smart phones and other devices we’ll wear.

We will also interview dozens, if not hundreds, of businesses about how they are preparing for this age of context. Already we’ve started this process, talking to car manufacturers, wineries, and many startups.

Shel and I are both seeing the same thing from different points of view. For the past few months he’s been working for Forbes, headed around the world to interview business executives. He has access to companies that I don’t, especially since he’s traveled the world after writing books, on the social age, on Twitter and How to Give Presentations (he used to help startups get ready for big demos).

Thanks, too, to our friends Buzz Bruggeman and Andy Ruff who introduced us years ago and told us to write our first book.

The book will be written over the next nine to 12 months, we’re hoping to publish it sometime in the first half of 2013. Right around the time the first Google Glasses come out. Why then? Because that’s when the Contextual Age will be very clear to everyone and businesses will need to figure out what to do because of these shifts. Just today I talked with the founder of Informix (he now runs the Connection Cloud, which is going to connect all of the cloud systems inside enterprises together, to give enterprise developers the tools to build real-time contextual systems that will do for businesses what the Google Glasses will do for consumers).

How will the book be funded?

Right now we don’t quite know how the book will be funded. The book industry is in extreme turmoil and we can’t bankroll it all ourselves. Just a single trip to see, say, what Ford is doing in Detroit, costs thousands of dollars. Double that if we both go. We have some ideas:

1. Get a corporate sponsor to bankroll the book and other media that will spring out of it. That’s happened on other books, like the Day in the Life series of photo books (IKEA and others sponsored those). If you’d like to participate, please get ahold of us at scobleizer@gmail.com.

2. Get a traditional book publisher to give us an advance to give us some funds to produce the book (that’s how we did Naked Conversations). Unfortunately, though, the book industry is less willing to do that at a significant level.

3. Fund it with a cloud-funding site, like Kickstarter (there are several to choose from, Kickstarter is just the most popular).

4. Some hybrid approach, or some approach where we sell access to chapters. There’s lots of innovation to come in the book industry, thanks to lots of people reading books on iPads, Kindles, and other mobile devices.

5. Fund it by doing speaking gigs or developing conferences around the idea. Other authors have done this, by charging $20,000 per speaking gig, which they use to fund book development, or pay off credit cards that get overused while investing time into a book.

There are other ideas, too, and we’re interested in hearing about them, (please write me at scobleizer@gmail.com). It’ll cost about $100,000 to do this book right over the next six to nine months.

So, what’s Rackspace’s role in this?

Rackspace is very excited by this new world. We are already seeing our customers building contextual apps, systems, and infrastructure and we want to help further innovation in this space by providing a set of open source and open cloud technologies that will enable developers to innovate on faster. Open source is a big trend, driving this book, and investors are behind that big time too, see Andreessen Horowitz’ $100 million investment in Github, for instance.

Rackspace is funding my research behind this book (I’m a full-time employee of Rackspace), and, indeed, already am doing interviews like this one with the CEO of CouchBase, the database that Zynga is running on.

Back to the trends

Let’s talk about the trends, introduced earlier.

Proliferation of always-connected sensors.

Your cell phone, alone, has these sensors: Video, Audio, GPS, Gyroscope, Accelerometer, Compass, Gravity, Wifi, Bluetooth, and possibly Temperature, and Barometer. All of these sensors can be used to figure out what context you are in. Are you walking, driving, skiing, sitting? These sensors can already know (companies like Alohar are already studying them and sending that data up to the cloud).

New kinds of cloud-based databases.

There are new kinds of cloud-based databases. Take a look at Firebase, for instance. http://www.building43.com/videos/2012/05/07/firebase-syncing-data-between-clients/ has my interview with its founders. This is a real-time system that enables new kinds of applications to be written. Add to that CloudBase, which already runs Zynga and is about to see a major revision that will allow real-time searching. Or, even, other kinds of social databases, like Pearltrees, which lets you organize data into contextual trees (interview with them coming soon).

New kinds of contextual SDKs.

Qualcomm’s Gimbal is only the first. https://www.gimbal.com/ It lets you build new kinds of geofences, interest sensing, and other features that will enable developers to bring this new world to us.

A maturing in social data that nearly everyone is participating in.

Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, Quora, and Google+ are all maturing very quickly. Facebook, in particular, has built APIs that enable new kinds of apps. Highlight shows the way here, with it you can see people near you who are already using the app. On its display you can see what Facebook likes and friends you share in common with this person.

Wearable computers and sensors like the Nike FuelBand, FitBit, and soon the Google Glasses.

When you go to the doctor in the future he or she will be able to see your vital statistics like weight, exercise activity, and more, thanks to sensors many of us are already starting to carry around or use. I have a FitBit scale that doesn’t just weigh me, but shows me my BMI (Body Mass Index). Just so I know how obese I am. Soon other sensors and contextual systems will arrive, too. I used one from Empatica, while on stage at the Next Web Conference. It is a galvanic skin response sensor which measures my emotions in real time. Imagine how companies could use this to improve customer support! (I’d love the airlines I use to see my graph as I interact with its employees, for instance).

Add these trends together with major announcements made by Google (who already shipped Google Now and has already previewed the Project Glass at its developer conferences) and the reactions I’ve gotten to posts where hundreds of comments have come in, like this post written last week, and we see there’s a need for a book to help everyone see what’s going on and how to take advantage of the new contextual age.

The role of my blog is going to change

Starting today I’m going to focus my blog here totally into this new project and what I’m seeing in the world over the next nine months. There are plenty of other places to watch me publish other things in my life (I’d recommend subscribing to me on Facebook, which is the best place to follow me since you’ll see my Quora answers, all my posts on Google+, my Soundcloud podcasts, my photos posted in various places, including on Facebook, and all my videos I post on various YouTube channels, and, of course, my blog posts here).

Next steps

We’re already working on the book and Shel will publish early versions of chapters onto Forbes where we can gather feedback about them. When we published Naked Conversations putting our work into the harsh eye of the public dramatically improved the book. People around the world gave us critiques, added new ideas and companies to it, and even grammar corrected our work. That process was totally unfamiliar to the book industry back then (we forced our publisher to accept it, rather unwillingly I might add) but it’s interesting to note how few authors are using that technique seven years later. It’s invaluable and you will definitely be part of every step of this process (which is why we’re announcing that we’re working on this now).

Anyway, read Shel’s post over on Forbes which adds more details about this project and let us know what you think.

PHOTO CREDIT: Photo taken of me and Sergey Brin, Google Co-Founder, by Thomas Hawk. Sergey is wearing the Project Glass prototypes that Google will release to developers sometime in 2013 (Scoble is the 107th purchaser).

Comments

  1. I’ve been writing on a similar topic since the beginning of this year. Basically my premise is that prior to the launch of the iPad the “personal” part of a personal computer meant a number. One person using a computer or one person owning a computer. I think that with the launch of the iPad, or what some call the beginning of the post-PC era, the meaning of “personal” in PC is actually becoming to mean personal, as in the device knows you and is therefore personally yours.

    As you and Shel point out, this is an evolving idea and I don’t claim to have it fully thought out. Some blog posts for more info, if interested are:

    http://realpersonalcomputing.com/2011/12/31/lets-get-real/

    http://realpersonalcomputing.com/2011/12/26/post-pc-era-or-the-beginning-of-the-personal-computing-era/

  2. This is really nice. Hope to see the book as soon as possible. I think KickStarter is one of the best and easiest way to get founded and to distribute the project. With Pebble, it seemed everything was possible on kickstarter. Do you really think people are ready to get over the freaky line? I am ready, but I still people worried about what Google Glass could create ( a virtual and immaterial world? ). The next tech bubble is going to focus on the shift from physical to virtual.

  3. Hi Robert – Try to stay away from corporate sponsors. They come with corporate agendas which can errode the authors credibility.

    Side note – The Calendar of the Future piece we did while I was at tungle.me talked about connecting multiple data sets to the calendar. Leave early because of traffic, weather, construction etc.

    Love where you’re going. If I could fund it, I would! :)

  4. There are only two logical reasons for anyone to spend money to track every nuance of my life. One is to sell things to me. The other is to try to control me. Neither is appealing in the least. I hope that this “contextual life” you envision is a Silicon Valley “in the bubble” thing and not heading for reality. Can I be in the minority when I say that I only want to “plug in” when it suits me, and never otherwise? To those who salivate at crunching whatever sad little data points my life may provide, I say get your dirty filthy hands off. This is the stuff of revolution and societal upheaval. Tread lightly.

  5. So glad to see you and Shel collaborating again. Naked Conversations opened up a new avenue of business for me, and I’m sure this book will be just as influential. Good luck!

  6. Both of you are clueless and I am sure this book will be no different – just plain clueless.
    Going by how much you harped on G+ and how totally wrong you were, I would not be surprised if you have completely misread the supposed “freaky contextual world” – new apps just coming out and using the tools available to them does not make a crazy nor revolutionary world – you are just plain wrong and I hope people stop listening to you.

  7. First, Congrats! Next, I attended a webinar today that. It was billed as teaching the best and newest ways to market using social media. I really signed up so that I could hear a couple suggests on how to use social image sharing, which is what my company does.
    I was disappointed that they never mentioned Lockerz. We are a social image sharing site, like Pinterest, only really more useful for marketing to young people. Please investigate before you write your book, so you don’t miss the next best thing–and so I can read how to use my own site the best way!

    Lockerz demographic:
    +Gender = not only some,but also men
    +Age = 13-30 years old, so even if the older female demo is the one marketers want now, Lockerz will BE that customer in 10 years, so getting them first is all the more valuable!
    +Geo = Lockerz has a large international audience, besides just U.S.

    Get Paid
    Lockerz is the leader in “rewarded social expression”,
    Unlike Pinterest of Tumblr, every time member post on Lockerz they earn PTZ that they can use to get huge discounts-sometimes 80% to 90% discounts, in our Shop. We sell brands like Rich & Skinny jeans, XBox, Nixon watches, BoyMeetGirl, Seven For All Mankind, etc.

    Marketing Benefits:
    +Larger images
    +PTZ reward for members drives traffic & invents them to grab and share your images
    +Buy Now Button: Lockerz provides a means for you to sell your brand directly from Lockerz, as opposed to seeing it on Twitter, FB, or Pinterest and having to hunt around for where to buy.
    +Cool factor-because of Lockerz young demographic, there is more new and interesting and hip content posted by our members.
    +Lockerz demo spendstwicw as much time online as Pinterest’s older women.

    Please ask future social media educators to talk about how to use socialimage sharing, and if you want to educate them about what’s new, don’t just talk about marketing to the older women at Pinterest!

    Thanks!
    MJ MacPherson

  8. Awesome to hear about this new project. Can’t wait to get my hands on the book and to read the early release chapters as they are shared. Keep up the good work.

  9. It’s a bit confusing at first to see the facebook and wordpress comments together. But I think it is a cool decision to keep them on the same page, because even if facebook is SO popular, there are many internet users does not have (or leave his) facebook account. Looking forward to the book.

  10. Yes, this new paradigm will expose all sorts of stupid design deficiencies, like the “two comments” link at the top, when there are 14 or 16 or …???

    “Computer, locate Sulu”
    “Sulu is masturbating in the ship’s apse.”
    “The ships what?”
    “Apse: A large semicircular or polygonal recess in a church..”
    SHUT UP!!!

  11. Langwen (Lanvin) 2012 spring and summer, Ms.lanvin bag series is still perpetuate the chain of design. Since the fat lovely Alber Elbaz as the designer of Lanvin women’s collection of mature, elegant tone was mixed with a young and lovely taste. 2012 spring and summer handbags exquisite chain of beautiful and bright, flashing jewels exist side by side will be ladies collar wrist.link:http://www.lanvinbagonline.com

  12. I’m excited, really. That’s all I could think about the whole time I was reading this post. Am I a little freaked out? Yeah, a little. But there’s no way to avoid it anymore. The time is coming and the best way to deal with it is to embrace it.

    How far off do you think we are in terms of really taking this contextual marketing and releasing it on the public? I’m curious as to what the reaction will be if it comes all at once. 

    Gradually, I could see the public accepting it without ever even realizing that it happened. But if production of these technologies really buckles down and pumps out more tactics than we have room for, I think we could be in for a bit of a hard landing.

    Excellent post Robert.

    Best,
    -Mike Roncone
    Web Strategist at Grae Web Strategies