Dan Balz, political reporter for the Washington Post, reports that John Edwards is going to drop out of the US presidential race today. It’s a sad ending to the race for me, since I’ve been an Edwards’ supporter since before he invited me to come along on his plane when he announced that he was running back in late December of 2006 (he spoke at Gnomedex that year). On that trip I met Dan Balz, too, who has been covering politics since the 1970s. Back then he said that the press had already picked Clinton and Obama to cover, since their stories were more interesting. Most of the political experts I met with back then thought that Clinton was going to take it all. That looks like it is still pretty likely. But I’m going to vote for Barack Obama in next Tuesday’s primary here in California. I met Hillary when she spoke at Microsoft and, while she’s very smart and will be a capable president, I just like Barack better. I’m tired of Bush and Clinton families running America and want a change. If that makes me a bad person, so be it. Now back to talking about technology…
Last night and this morning I was hanging out with Joe Trippi, among other luminaries (we were presenting at a PR/marketing event at KOMO-TV/Radio this morning). I don’t usually talk about politics here, but Joe gave his insights and thought I’d share them.
In the 2008 election he expects that Hillary Clinton will be a lockin for the Democrats. He doesn’t see anyone who can challenge her from the Democratic side. On the right side he’s expecting a far more conservative than even George Bush is. Why? His reasoning is that the powerbase that put George Bush in power is mad that they haven’t gotten things done, for instance, repealing of abortion and other conservative issues. He doesn’t think that a moderate Republican has any chance in getting nominated at all. If that weren’t bad enough, he theorized that a Democrat would split ranks and run as an independent. He isn’t sure how this would play out, but it probably wouldn’t be good for Hillary, who’ll have a tough time getting elected anyway.
Anyway, that’s the doom and gloom from my conversations with Joe. Admittedly he has his own biases. He says there’s no way that he can see working in American Presidential politics again.
Oh, and he says that Republicans are far more blog savvy than the Democrats are and are spending more resources on the Internet. His blog is at JoeTrippi.com, but he apologizes that he hasn’t been able to blog much lately. He’s been consulting with politicians outside the US and businesses like IBM, so he’s been away from the computer too much.
2008 sure will be interesting to watch to see if his predictions come true.