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		<title>Why I love PandoDaily, new media company focused on startups</title>
		<link>http://scobleizer.com/2012/01/16/why-i-love-pandodaily-new-media-company-focused-on-startups/</link>
		<comments>http://scobleizer.com/2012/01/16/why-i-love-pandodaily-new-media-company-focused-on-startups/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Jan 2012 21:46:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert Scoble</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Web]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scobleizer.com/?p=8195</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today Sarah Lacy, formerly of Techcrunch, announced she was starting a new media company and has gotten funded, to the tune of $2.5-million by a variety of big names in investing. This is just what the tech industry needs. Why? Because big companies are too focused on profits to properly cover the startup world. Here&#8217;s [...]]]></description>
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<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/scobleizer/4464224210/" title="Sarah Lacy looks at TechCrunch TV equipment by Robert Scoble, on Flickr"><img src="http://farm3.staticflickr.com/2754/4464224210_f1df8a319d.jpg" width="500" height="333" alt="Sarah Lacy looks at TechCrunch TV equipment"/></a></p>
<p>Today Sarah Lacy, formerly of Techcrunch, <a href="http://pandodaily.com/2012/01/16/why-i-started-pandodaily/">announced she was starting a new media company</a> and has gotten funded, to the tune of $2.5-million by a variety of big names in investing.</p>
<p>This is just what the tech industry needs. Why? Because big companies are too focused on profits to properly cover the startup world.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s why.</p>
<p>1. Most stories about startups don&#8217;t get many hits. At least not when compared to stuff about Apple, Microsoft, Google, Facebook. There&#8217;s a reason for that that&#8217;s built into the system. If you write about Microsoft, for instance, its 90,000 employees hear about it on internal email newsletters and blogs. You&#8217;ll get thousands of hits almost instantly just because of that. Then they&#8217;ll push blogs that are pro that company out to other places like Facebook, Twitter, and Google+. I see this happening all the time. Those hits are easy money for blogs that rely on page-view advertising, like Techcrunch does. Startups don&#8217;t have that &#8220;multi-thousand-hit&#8221; ability, so get lesser attention from the big companies than they should.</p>
<p>2. Startups tend to be understood better by people who&#8217;ve been in startups. I&#8217;m getting a bit rusty at this myself. Working at a big company you start to forget what it&#8217;s like to have to do everything yourself. I remember walking into one startup and seeing the CEO on the floor building an airconditioner to keep his team cool. It&#8217;s why, even though Rackspace built me a studio at its new office in San Francisco, I still  go and visit quite a few startups. It&#8217;s something very few journalists do, but I know Sarah Lacy does. </p>
<p>3. The industry needs a global perspective. I was talking with the CEO of <a href="http://geekli.st/beta">Geekli.st</a>, Reuben Katz, the other day. <a href="http://flipzu.com/RobertScoble/80198">That interview is here so you can listen</a>. As you listen you&#8217;ll hear something: innovation is happening outside of Silicon Valley. Sarah knows this deeply. She wrote a book on it and has done the hard work of visiting far off places. Many other journalists think that they have seen this trend by going to big conferences at LeWeb, but that&#8217;s just not true. It&#8217;s hard to know this without having done the hard work, er, flying the miles.</p>
<p>4. The way startups get better conversion is via video. This is something I understand deeply, but so does Sarah. She&#8217;s been on the inside of video divisions of Yahoo and AOL and I&#8217;m sure she&#8217;ll be doing a bunch of videos. More videos of startups is a good thing for the entire industry. Too many blogs don&#8217;t understand the power of video, or don&#8217;t have the funding to do the travel that this requires (I&#8217;m heading to Europe on Friday, for instance, and it isn&#8217;t cheap).</p>
<p>5. There is no way one person, or one media company, can cover all the startups anymore. Y Combinator alone is going to graduate another 60 startups. Think about it. I can only do about two videos a day. That means I&#8217;d have to focus on Y Combinator for more than an entire month to cover all of its startups. That means that many of its startups don&#8217;t get covered, or covered well.</p>
<p>Now, you might think this is bad for me. No, it&#8217;s not. As startup liasion officer at Rackspace I love that I&#8217;ll see even more coverage of startups in the future. This is good for everyone in the industry that serves startups. Some changes that we&#8217;ve already started making, though, because we knew there would be more competition in startup news space: we&#8217;ve decided to move away from building43.com and toward a new &#8220;Small Teams, Big Impact&#8221; set of videos. Yes, we have a website, that will grow to be more interactive in the future, but we&#8217;ll be putting more of our videos up on social networks. If you&#8217;ve noticed, I haven&#8217;t been as active here lately as I once was. Why? Because <a href="https://profiles.google.com/scobleizer">Google+ became a lot more interesting to me</a> due to the engagement I was getting there, the audience growth (more than 210,000 followers there already). Even Facebook, in the past few months, has seen huge audience growth for me, from about 13,000 followers in August to more than 100,000 today. The action is clearly on social networks, and that&#8217;s where I&#8217;m putting my time and efforts.</p>
<p>That said, there&#8217;s something I&#8217;ve noticed that the startup blogs haven&#8217;t really caught onto yet. That is there&#8217;s technologies here now that are helping small teams having a HUGE impact on the world. For instance, at Universal Studios there are two engineers who are building all their web properties and are getting a HUGE amount of scale from technologies like JanRain and Echo. More on that soon, as we get more of our videos up on our <a href="http://www.rackspace.com/impact/">Small Teams, Big Impact, site</a>.</p>
<p>Also, at SXSW we&#8217;ll have a celebration of companies like this that help small teams have a big impact on the world. If you know of one, <a href="http://www.rackspace.com/impact/sxsw/">can you let me know by filling in this form</a>? Thanks!</p>
<p>Anyway, that&#8217;s getting me off the point of this post, my first of 2012, which is to say &#8220;congrats Sarah.&#8221; Can&#8217;t wait to see what you do.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve also added PandoDaily&#8217;s Twitter account to <a href="https://twitter.com/#!/Scobleizer/tech-news-brands">my tech news brand Twitter list</a>, which includes all the tech news brands I know of (493 to date).</p>
<p>PHOTOCREDIT: I shot this image of Sarah while she worked on Techcrunch TV.</p>
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		<title>My first photowalk with Lytro&#8217;s lightfield camera</title>
		<link>http://scobleizer.com/2011/12/28/lytro_first_use/</link>
		<comments>http://scobleizer.com/2011/12/28/lytro_first_use/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Dec 2011 21:48:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert Scoble</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Web]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scobleizer.com/?p=8193</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This weekend we&#8217;ll be in Yosemite with Google+ photographers, including Thomas Hawk, Trey Ratcliff Karen Hutton Scott Jarvie Peter Adams shirley lo and Kimberly Shoemaker. All trying to make a better image than the ones that come up in searches for Yosemite on Google+. So, to prepare, I went on a photowalk around Half Moon [...]]]></description>
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<p>This weekend we&#8217;ll be in Yosemite with Google+ photographers, including <a href="https://plus.google.com/104987932455782713675/posts">Thomas Hawk</a>, <a href="https://plus.google.com/105237212888595777019/posts">Trey Ratcliff</a> <a href="https://plus.google.com/112471890387110967375/posts">Karen Hutton</a> <a href="https://plus.google.com/100962871525684315897/posts">Scott Jarvie</a> <a href="https://plus.google.com/106983800549406471589/posts">Peter Adams</a> <a href="https://plus.google.com/113141491911286106535/posts">shirley lo</a> and <a href="https://plus.google.com/106473332550730818968/posts">Kimberly Shoemaker</a>. All trying to make a better image than the ones that <a href="https://plus.google.com/s/Yosemite">come up in searches for Yosemite on Google+</a>.</p>
<p>So, to prepare, I went on a photowalk around Half Moon Bay with a new kind of camera: <a href="http://lytro.com">Lytro&#8217;s lightfield camera</a>. Lytro&#8217;s director of photography, <a href="https://plus.google.com/107004843925454095805/posts">Eric Cheng</a>, gave me a late Christmas present: he let me be one of the first people in the world to actually use one in the wild. Yesterday we walked around and I made 278 images. He shot a bunch too (he&#8217;s one of the world&#8217;s best underwater photographers, by the way, and has videos of sharks eating GoPro cameras, crazy!). Unfortunately Eric didn&#8217;t let me share the actual images online, since this is still a pre-production unit and doesn&#8217;t have the final software or viewer yet, but <a href="http://youtu.be/qE8DKM-B0Eo">we did shoot a video where you can see some of the results</a>.</p>
<p>I have already purchased a Lytro with my own money, so you know I&#8217;m interested in this new camera, that lets you do things like refocus images after you shoot (it does more, too, which we discuss in the video).</p>
<p>So, how was it?</p>
<p>Both disappointing and enthralling.</p>
<p>But first, this is NOT a review. It&#8217;s just an early look at a product that hasn&#8217;t yet shipped (they expect to ship them sometime in Q1, 2012, so by April 1, although first units might start shipping in February). The software isn&#8217;t done, and Eric showed me a few things that they are working on for the future.</p>
<p>You&#8217;ll have to wait for an official &#8220;review&#8221; of the final camera.</p>
<p>So, why was it disappointing?</p>
<p>Well, if you just want the ultimately sharpest photo, this isn&#8217;t a camera for you (it won&#8217;t do 22 megapixel photos like my Canon 5D MKII will, and the images are generally good enough for on-screen use but if you want to blow them up to wall sized images, this isn&#8217;t a camera for you).<br />
If you like having a huge choice of lenses, this isn&#8217;t a camera for you.<br />
If you want to shoot action sports, this isn&#8217;t a camera for you.<br />
If you want to see through the viewfinder to choose your own focus point, this isn&#8217;t a camera for you.<br />
If you want the best low-light performance, then this isn&#8217;t a camera for you.</p>
<p>But why is it enthralling?</p>
<p>It let me see the world in a new way. I no longer needed to worry about focus. In fact, I quickly learned that there&#8217;s a kind of photo that only works on the Lytro: one where you can get very close to the subject and just shoot, without any worry about where the focus is. </p>
<p>Plus, coming sometime after the camera ships you can turn each image into a 3D image. I saw some examples from Eric&#8217;s computer on my 65-inch Vizio 3D TV and they rocked.</p>
<p>Some other reactions.</p>
<p>1. Shooting is actually pretty comfortable and fun. In the video you&#8217;ll see Eric shooting with it.<br />
2. The shutter reacts pretty quickly. I was able to capture some shots of golfers in mid swing. That said, top shutter speed is 250th of a second, so this won&#8217;t freeze most sports action. Water that I shot out of a fountain was slightly blurred because of the slow shutter.<br />
3. Exposure was usually pretty good, although on some subjects, highlights were overblown. Eric says that they are still tweaking the settings in the camera, so these will probably improve.<br />
4. The viewfinder was frustrating to use in bright sunlight. In fact, most of the time I just shot without seeing the image. That isn&#8217;t as big a deal as it might seem, though, because you don&#8217;t need to focus, just need to properly compose the image. Eric says that they are working on making the viewfinder brighter.<br />
5. In low light images got a big grainy for my tastes, but still worked.<br />
6. To get the &#8220;refocusable effect&#8221; you need to pick images where the camera is extremely close to one subject while another subject is in the distant background. This takes a little bit of playing around to optimize for, but I got some good examples, including one where I stuck the camera four inches away from a window frame and shot outside.<br />
7. The camera gets a lot of reactions. At one point the bartender at the Ritz grabbed ours and said &#8220;I read about this in Wired&#8221; and started shooting with it. The fact that he could pick it up and figure out the controls quickly tells me it is well designed.<br />
8. There are improvements coming that I can&#8217;t talk about.<br />
9. Some images have light-field artifacts. This happens when it can&#8217;t build the 3D model properly that it relies on, like when there&#8217;s motion blur. These aren&#8217;t going to be noticed by most people who view your images on Facebook but we were blowing the images up on my 65-inch TV.</p>
<p>Is this camera worth buying?</p>
<p>For me and other early adopters who want to own a piece of the future, absolutely 100% yes.<br />
For my wife? She&#8217;ll probably keep using her iPhone&#8217;s cameras.</p>
<p>I can&#8217;t wait to get mine for real. The technology behind this is mind blowing.</p>
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		<title>Oh, Charlie, you should have been here for Christmas</title>
		<link>http://scobleizer.com/2011/12/26/phone7/</link>
		<comments>http://scobleizer.com/2011/12/26/phone7/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Dec 2011 03:18:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert Scoble</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Web]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scobleizer.com/?p=8186</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Oh, Charlie. Charlie Kindel, that is. He used to work at Microsoft. He still has Microsoft in his blood as he tries to explain why Windows Phone 7 hasn&#8217;t taken off. I thought about posting this over on Google+ or Facebook or Twitter, but I like the way MG Siegler is treating it. All the [...]]]></description>
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<p>Oh, Charlie. Charlie Kindel, that is. He used to work at Microsoft. He still has Microsoft in his blood as <a href="http://ceklog.kindel.com/2011/12/26/windows-phone-is-superior-why-hasnt-it-taken-off/">he tries to explain why Windows Phone 7 hasn&#8217;t taken off</a>.</p>
<p>I thought about posting this over on Google+ or Facebook or Twitter, but I like the way MG Siegler is treating it. All the stupid stuff goes on the blog and all the important stuff goes on YouTube, Tumblr, or Google+. Heh.</p>
<p><a href="http://parislemon.com/post/14840209963/the-windows-phone-problem-in-three-words-way-too-late">MG mailed Charlie&#8217;s post back</a> with a &#8220;way too late&#8221; headline and pointed out that apps do matter. </p>
<p>It&#8217;s worse than that. Sorry Charlie.</p>
<p>I had dozens of people here for several events this weekend. Phones came up in nearly every conversation. Not a single person brought up Windows Phone 7.</p>
<p>While watching TV I was reminded again of why: it&#8217;s all about apps. Yeah, Charlie, all that other stuff matters a bit. You know, what Carriers decide to push and all that. But only if the customers are willing to go along with the push.</p>
<p>See, I used to work retail and no matter how hard I tried I couldn&#8217;t unload crappy products on consumers. They generally are smarter than that.</p>
<p>One thing I learned working the counter at several Silicon Valley consumer electronics stores is that there&#8217;s only one thing people really care about when it comes to buying things:</p>
<p>Not looking stupid.</p>
<p>Now, let&#8217;s look at the ads on TV right now. There&#8217;s all sorts of people saying to get their app, including the local TV news departments. Do they talk about Android? Yes, of course. iOS? Of course! Windows Phone 7? Hell no. RIM/Blackberry? I haven&#8217;t heard that in an app advertisement in, well, forever.</p>
<p>So, when a consumer goes into a carrier store to buy a new phone, what is going on in the back of her/his head?</p>
<p>Android=safe.<br />
iOS/iPhone=safe.<br />
Everything else=not safe.</p>
<p>Why? Because all you had to do was come to my Christmas parties to see why. Everything around you showed that having an Android or an iPhone was &#8220;safe.&#8221;</p>
<p>When I go around interviewing startups I hear over and over that they are staying away from anything that isn&#8217;t Android or iOS based. </p>
<p>That means that any product not based on iOS or Android isn&#8217;t &#8220;safe.&#8221; </p>
<p>End of discussion. Until RIM or Microsoft changes that belief among app developers in a demonstrable way Microsoft will continue to struggle.</p>
<p>And don&#8217;t tell me that Nokia is gonna be able to change this in the developing world. Anyone who is on Twitter now can watch this search:</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/#!/search/apps">https://twitter.com/#!/search/apps</a></p>
<p>Go ahead. Put that search into a good Twitter client. Every second or two a new Tweet gets made. Now watch how many of them talk about anything but iOS or Android devices: nearly none.</p>
<p>I watch this search every day on <a href="http://itunes.apple.com/us/app/streamboard/id479659083?mt=8">StreamBoard</a> on my iPad. </p>
<p>It shows why Charlie is so wrong: apps do matter and matter big time and TODAY matter more than carriers. UPDATE: Charlie claims he didn&#8217;t say apps don&#8217;t matter. Just that they don&#8217;t matter for his discussion. I disagree. Here&#8217;s why: Carriers are no longer hungry for a competitor to iPhones the way they were back in 2009. So, the &#8220;lever&#8221; to the market will NOT be carriers. But Android and iOS DO have a &#8220;lever&#8221; called developers and apps.</p>
<p>That will not change in 2012, no matter how much Microsofties (or ex-Microsofties) wish to hide from that problem.</p>
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		<title>Viral coefficients + store feature + branding + influencers = cool apps on iOS first</title>
		<link>http://scobleizer.com/2011/12/12/viral-coefficients-store-feature-branding-influencers-cool-apps-on-ios-first/</link>
		<comments>http://scobleizer.com/2011/12/12/viral-coefficients-store-feature-branding-influencers-cool-apps-on-ios-first/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Dec 2011 05:55:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert Scoble</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Web]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scobleizer.com/?p=8174</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[At LeWeb last week former Google CEO, Eric Schmidt was asked by an audience member why the coolest apps come out on iOS first. Apps like Flipboard and Instagram. He answered: &#8220;&#8221;So my prediction is that 6 months from now, I think the question is exactly right right now, and 6 months from now, you’ll [...]]]></description>
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<p>At LeWeb last week former Google CEO, Eric Schmidt was asked by an audience member why the coolest apps come out on iOS first. Apps like Flipboard and Instagram. <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&#038;v=t02iJn5Ypio#t=2576s">He answered</a>:</p>
<p><em>&#8220;&#8221;So my prediction is that 6 months from now, I think the question<br />
is exactly right right now, and 6 months from now, you’ll say the<br />
opposite. Because ultimately applications vendors are driven by<br />
volume, and the volume is favored by the open approach that Google is<br />
taking. That there are literally so many manufacturers who are working<br />
so hard to distribute Android phones globally, that whether you<br />
like ICS or not, and again I like it a great deal, you will want to<br />
develop for that platform, and perhaps even first. So think of it as a transition over the next 6 months.&#8221;"</em></p>
<p>Thing is, that doesn&#8217;t measure up with what lots of app developers tell me, and it doesn&#8217;t measure up with what you can see in the street.</p>
<p>Right after that an entrepreneur walked up to me with his app, which looked like Instagram. He wondered why the press doesn&#8217;t cover apps not designed on iOS. I said &#8220;come with me.&#8221;</p>
<p>We walked around the street at LeWeb. First person I ran into was Ayelet Noff. She is one of Israel&#8217;s top community connector types. Runs a blog called &#8220;<a href="https://www.blonde20.com">Blonde 2.0</a>.&#8221; But that doesn&#8217;t really explain her role in the tech scene.</p>
<p>&#8220;What kind of phone do you use?&#8221; &#8220;iPhone.&#8221;<br />
Next up? Cathy Brooks, who does the same thing in SF? &#8220;iPhone.&#8221;</p>
<p>This continued with person after person until we got about 10 people. I think we saw one Android phone, nine iPhones, and no WP7&#8242;s. This was a crowd of European entrepreneurs and tech passionates.</p>
<p>&#8220;Had enough yet?&#8221; I asked the entrepreneur.</p>
<p>This matches what I have seen at conference after conference. Last year I spoke at the Where 2.0 conference. This is a conference with tons of hackers and mobile passionate developers and leaders. 80% of the audience used an iPhone.</p>
<p>Last week I had dinner with Loic LeMeur, who runs LeWeb. I watched him closely at dinner. He only used his iPhone. But when I started talking to him about mobile he quickly pulled out an Android and a Windows Phone 7 device. But it was obvious to me that his favorite device was iPhone. Do you think we talked about apps that only existed on WP7 or on Android? No way.</p>
<p>Other things I&#8217;ve noticed. Folks who study the app market, like Distimo, <a href="http://blog.inner-active.com/2011/05/android-developers-who-charge-for-their-app-can-say-goodbye-to-any-revenue/">say that Android users won&#8217;t buy apps</a>.</p>
<p>That gets discussed behind closed doors in Silicon Valley VC funds. Note that famous <a href="http://kpcb.com/initiatives/ifund">VC Kleiner Perkins Caufield Byers has an iFund</a> (they fund lots of famous iOS apps, including Flipboard, etc). When I asked Matt Murphy whether he was going to have an aFund or a WP7Fund he quickly answered &#8220;no.&#8221;</p>
<p>When I talked with Path CEO Dave Morin a week ago: </p>
<p><iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/2iDjrW8NqJI" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><a href="http://youtu.be/2iDjrW8NqJI">He told me how hard it is</a> to build beautiful apps on Android. Tonight I asked him what the numbers were like?</p>
<p>&#8220;80% iOS, 20% Android,&#8221; he texted me.</p>
<p>Now, to be fair, not every developer sees these kinds of results. Bobby Ghoshal, CEO of Flud, <a href="https://twitter.com/#!/ghoshal/status/146081231103197185">says he saw more Android users than iOS users</a>. The problem with his results is that he had a very strong competitor on iOS (App of the Year in 2010 on iPad, Flipboard) while his app had nearly no competiton on Android. Let&#8217;s see what happens to Flud when Flipboard moves over.</p>
<p>One major reason, by the way, that Flipboard continues to be Apple&#8217;s darling is that it hasn&#8217;t yet done an app for another platform. Developers tell me that Apple is much more likely to reward you with a &#8220;featured&#8221; spot if you stay iOS only. Path is one of the most public examples of a company breaking Apple&#8217;s unspoken rules and getting away with it (so far). </p>
<p>When I recently interviewed Mike McCue, CEO of Flipboard, where he showed me his new iPhone app, I tried to nail him down about Android. He deftly didn&#8217;t answer the question:</p>
<p><iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/11pQ5sb5wME" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>What does that mean? Well, last week I was in the car with <a href="http://www.955dreams.com/">955 Dreams</a> CEO Kiran Bellubbi shortly after he learned that Apple had named his app, Band of the Day, as runner up for iPhone app of the year. He told me his servers were near melting down with thousands of downloads per hour. </p>
<p>Which gets me to the final point. Here&#8217;s why Eric Schmidt is wrong and will continue to be wrong: virality coefficient.</p>
<p>What is that? Well, it&#8217;s the ability to tap into an early user base and get that user base to tell other people about it.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/scobleizer/6497389601/" title="Paul Davison, left, shows off a stealth app at a SF geek party by Robert Scoble, on Flickr"><img src="http://farm8.staticflickr.com/7145/6497389601_b2b009d7cb.jpg" width="500" height="375" alt="Paul Davison, left, shows off a stealth app at a SF geek party"/></a></p>
<p>Meet <a href="https://twitter.com/#!/pdavison">Paul Davison</a>. That&#8217;s him on the left. He has an app that&#8217;s still in stealth. I accidentally learned about it at a geek party today in San Francisco. I watched him work the room and get everyone in the room on his app. Nearly every person in that room was an iPhone user.</p>
<p>He has not yet gotten funding. His app will be the hottest thing at SXSW next year. I can&#8217;t wait to tell you about it. I took a picture so I could remember the moment I first got on this app but I was also watching how the San Francisco network works.</p>
<p>I wasn&#8217;t the only one watching the reactions and laughs that Paul was getting. Users, even though they were asked to keep it quiet, kept heading over to other parts of the party to tell their friends that they had to see Paul&#8217;s app. All had iPhones. I think I saw only two Android phones at that party and no Windows Phone 7 devices. </p>
<p>Watching this was me and a group of VCs. They asked for the app and business cards.</p>
<p>See, what do VCs look for? Virality coefficients. This is why they poured so much money into Facebook so early. The virality coefficient for that was about what Paul was getting today. In other words, one user is likely to tell four other users about this app. That&#8217;s extraordinary. <a href="http://event.on24.com/view/presentation/flash/EventConsoleNG.html?uimode=nextgeneration&#038;eventid=377157&#038;sessionid=1&#038;key=BB6314522970F3A04D747EE2F5DB4590&#038;contenttype=A&#038;eventuserid=305999&#038;playerwidth=1000&#038;playerheight=650&#038;caller=previewLobby&#038;text_language_id=en&#038;format=fhvideo1#">Just listen to Eric Ries, author of the Lean Startup, tell me</a> about why getting a high viral coefficient is so important to businesses.</p>
<p>But it&#8217;s worse than that. Because investors want to see sizable adoption before they will fund any app, you gotta do the hard work that Paul was doing today: showing your app around and hoping that someone picks it up and starts spreading it around.</p>
<p>Will that happen with Android? It can. There are more handsets out there than on iOS. But, in my experience, it&#8217;s very hard to get the kinds of virality that you need to get funded on non-iOS platforms.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s also much harder to get the press, the folks who run the Apple store (they watch the press too and use it as a guide for what they should pick), and the VCs to take you seriously if you aren&#8217;t on iOS.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t see this mix changing much. In fact, as Loic told me, he has moved back to iOS because of this and other reasons. That means that Google has its work cut out for it if it wants the sexy cool apps written for it first.</p>
<p>Now, when I talk with experts who help launch companies, like <a href="https://twitter.com/#!/mikeschroeder">Mike Schroeder</a>, who works at LaunchSquad, he says that Android is coming on strong. His clients, like <a href="http://thuuz.com/home/">Thuuz</a>, a sports enthusiast app, are seeing about 65% Android/35% iOS and he&#8217;s pushing his clients to do Android and iOS together.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s good advice.</p>
<p>Now, who really is hurt by all this? Well, RIM is completely out of the game. No developers I know are building RIM apps on go-to-market entries. </p>
<p>Microsoft continues to struggle. It&#8217;s very rare to see a WP7 app demoed anywhere (LeWeb shows why, the only WP7 devices I saw there were owned by Microsoft execs/employees, or by app developers who were paid for their development). </p>
<p>Consumers who haven&#8217;t bought iOS devices will feel hurt, but generally only the better apps will get pulled over from iOS anyway, so are they really hurt? Well, only if they care about being on the bleeding edge. Most users don&#8217;t care so much, if they did, Android wouldn&#8217;t have the marketshare it now has.</p>
<p>So, all this really means is if you are struggling to get adoption, you have to care and if you like arguing OS&#8217;s out, like I do, then you&#8217;ll care. The rest of it will come out in the wash. </p>
<p>That said, Eric Schmidt will have to face more of these questions because Android isn&#8217;t changing the game that I can see. iOS is still king for early adopters.</p>
<p>UPDATE: <a href="http://brianshall.com/content/are-android-users-simply-cheap">Brian Hall asks &#8220;Are Android users simply cheap?&#8221;</a></p>
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		<title>The Facebook Freaky Line</title>
		<link>http://scobleizer.com/2011/11/20/the-facebook-freaky-line/</link>
		<comments>http://scobleizer.com/2011/11/20/the-facebook-freaky-line/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 Nov 2011 19:49:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert Scoble</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Web]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scobleizer.com/?p=8165</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It seems everyone is getting freaked out by Facebook once again. Molly Wood at CNET says that Facebook&#8217;s automatic sharing features are ruining sharing. That got everyone to pile on over on Techmeme. First, what does this automatic sharing feature (otherwise known as &#8220;frictionless sharing&#8221;) do? Well, every time I play a song on Spotify, [...]]]></description>
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<p><img src="http://farm5.staticflickr.com/4053/4541965949_3b10c8b6a7_z.jpg" alt="Mark Zuckerberg, CEO/Founder of Facebook" /></p>
<p>It seems everyone is getting freaked out by Facebook once again. Molly Wood at CNET says that Facebook&#8217;s automatic sharing features are ruining sharing. <a href="http://www.techmeme.com/111119/p6#a111119p6">That got everyone to pile on over on Techmeme</a>.</p>
<p>First, what does this automatic sharing feature (otherwise known as &#8220;frictionless sharing&#8221;) do? Well, every time I play a song on Spotify, for instance, <a href="https://www.facebook.com/RobertScoble">it tells everyone something like &#8220;Robert Scoble is listening to Skrillex on Spotify.&#8221;</a> On Facebook&#8217;s web interface that shows up over on the right in the new ticker (not everyone has that, and only the web version shows it). It also puts that onto my new Timeline (only developers have that feature, so far).</p>
<p>It doesn&#8217;t just do this for music, either. Everytime I read a story in the Washington Post&#8217;s new newsreader it does the same. &#8220;Robert Scoble read Ex-MySpace CEO resigns as Zynga executive on Washington Post Social Reader.&#8221; (Which I actually did, right now). </p>
<p>Here&#8217;s Don Graham, Chairman of the Washington Post showing me how that app works:</p>
<p><iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/ZTx77IkawhI" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>Soon, Facebook PR told me this week, about 60 different apps will do the same. So, whenever I take a picture of a meal, or do some other action, with Foodspotting, you&#8217;ll know it. If I ever exercise with Runkeeper, you&#8217;ll know it. And on, and on, and on.</p>
<p>Now many of you think that&#8217;s very freaky. You don&#8217;t want to be an oversharing social media wanker like me. You want some parts of your life to be private. You don&#8217;t like it if Mark Zuckerberg sucks every bit of knowledge out of your cell phone and shoves it onto your Timeline for everyone of your friends to see (remember, only egocentric social media wankers like me make all their detail public, right?).</p>
<p>Why would ANYONE agree to this? Well, some, like Dave Winer, haven&#8217;t. <a href="http://scripting.com/stories/2011/11/10/iDeletedMyFacebookAccount.html">He deleted his Facebook account recently</a>.</p>
<p>Others, like me, are &#8220;all in&#8221; and very intrigued with this new world. We&#8217;ve crossed the freaky line never to return to a world where apps don&#8217;t share with Facebook.</p>
<p>What&#8217;s really interesting to me is that my wife has crossed the freaky line. She loves the new Spotify and thinks it&#8217;s cool her friends get to see her music. That shocked me, because she usually is pretty conservative when it comes to being public. Even better I&#8217;ve had dozens of conversations with people and from teenagers to old farts, like me, there&#8217;s an astute level of understanding of where the freaky line is for them. If an app crosses the freaky line in a way they don&#8217;t like, they turn it off or learn how to use it so it doesn&#8217;t spray everything onto Facebook (Spotify, for instance, lets you do just that in the settings).</p>
<p>What the heck is Mark Zuckerberg doing?</p>
<p>He&#8217;s building a new media company. One where the media comes TO US. Compare to boring old Yahoo. There we have to visit the media by going to http://sports.yahoo.com/ or http://finance.yahoo.com/</p>
<p>See, the new world is you just open up Facebook and everything you care about will be streaming down the screen.</p>
<p>This is what Zuckerberg doesn&#8217;t want to explain to you: to be your new media assistant he needs to know everything about you. Think about it. When i clicked &#8220;like&#8221; on the San Francisco 49ers Facebook Page, all of a sudden I started seeing news items about the 49ers.</p>
<p>The more Zuckerberg knows about you, the more media he will be able to bring you. </p>
<p>This is why I say Facebook&#8217;s real strategy is to know everything about everything. Of course they won&#8217;t get there. Why? Because there&#8217;s a freaky line.</p>
<p>Governments will soon step in to define the freaky line. They already have started that process and it varies from country to country. In Germany, for instance, the privacy laws are stricter than they are in the United States, so Facebook won&#8217;t be able to do some of its &#8220;studying&#8221; there.</p>
<p>Users will turn off apps, or change their behavior (I already have, for instance, I don&#8217;t listen to Lady Gaga on Spotify, I only listen to bands on Spotify that I want you to see).</p>
<p>Zuckerberg will have to change his behavior too. You&#8217;ll find them astutely moving the freaky line around. For instance, I really do agree with some of the criticisms about this &#8220;frictionless sharing&#8221; and I think Facebook (and the third-party developers) are going to have to give their users clear controls. Spotify simply isn&#8217;t doing enough here. Let&#8217;s explain why:</p>
<p>When I click play on a song in Spotify it instantly tells all of you that I&#8217;m listening to that song. For instance, right now, on my screen, Facebook is telling me that Mark Zuckerberg is listening to Something Goes Right&#8230; by SBTRKT on Rdio. But is he really listening to it? In my case, possibly not. Why? I might be scrubbing through a list of song titles trying to find a good one. I might be sampling music for 15 seconds a song. I might have just accidentally left Spotify on play. You don&#8217;t really know if I&#8217;ve listened to that song, or if I really like it.</p>
<p>I listen to Spotify a lot in the car. I&#8217;m not even in a good place to tell you anything about the music I&#8217;m listening to. I wish I had 30 seconds to hit next before you were told I was listening to it.</p>
<p>Same thing with the Washington Post. Just because I clicked on a link it goes out to all of you. Very viral, and very good for software developers but it will quickly devolve into noise. Facebook always does this with its platforms (starts noisy, then moves the freaky line back as users get pissed off at the noise showing up on their screens).</p>
<p>This is Zuckerberg&#8217;s brilliance. Other companies just aren&#8217;t willing to even try to move the freaky line forward in order to build a new media company.</p>
<p>On the other hand, I find this new &#8220;world&#8217;s biggest smallest village behavior&#8221; to be interesting. I&#8217;m listening to the same music that Mark Zuckerberg is right now. And everyone who is watching me on Facebook can do the same. THAT is an interesting shift in our human behavior.</p>
<p>How fast should Facebook move this freaky line? Well, they are spending months arguing with third-party developers about the verbs that will be allowed and what kind of controls they need to institute so as to not piss off too many users.</p>
<p>So, why am I all in? </p>
<p>Because:</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve found new music over the past two months.<br />
I&#8217;ve found new news over the past two months.<br />
I&#8217;ve learned stuff about my own patterns and can go back onto the Timeline and learn more.</p>
<p>How far will this go? Well, look at Zuckerberg&#8217;s own Timeline. He just got the new <a href="http://jawbone.com/up">Jawbone Up</a>. <a href="https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10100128954051841&#038;set=a.612287952871.2204760.4&#038;type=1">He posted &#8220;I can&#8217;t wait until I can sync this data directly to my timeline.&#8221;</a></p>
<p>To many of you that is WAY OVER the freaky line. After all, the Jawbone knows when you&#8217;ve slept. When you&#8217;ve walked someplace. It might, gasp, even know when you are having sex. And Zuckerberg wants to report everything to his timeline.</p>
<p>Do you get why? I do. He knows that the more Facebook knows about him the better the media will be that Facebook can deliver. Oh, yes, and of course the better the advertising will be too.</p>
<p>&#8220;Oh, Scoble, how can Facebook bring you better advertising?&#8221; Well, <a href="http://www.etsy.com/gifts?ref=fb_gift_promo_hp">check out Etsy&#8217;s gift recommendation page</a>. It&#8217;s driven by Facebook. It&#8217;s magical. It recommends gifts based on my friends and family&#8217;s Facebook behaviors. In the case of my producer, Rocky Barbanica, it&#8217;s VERY accurate. Too accurate to tell you here just what he&#8217;s into. Yes, he&#8217;s into the San Francisco 49ers, too, but he&#8217;s into a few other things I didn&#8217;t know about. Now I can get him that perfect gift. All because he shared his life with Facebook. UPDATE: <a href="http://codeascraft.etsy.com/2011/11/09/engineering-social-commerce/">Etsy wrote a blog post about how they made that</a>.</p>
<p>Now, what will Facebook soon know about people because of Frictionless Sharing? A lot more than it knows today. </p>
<p>The freaky line is about to move. Are you ready?</p>
<p>UPDATE: this has gotten <a href="https://plus.google.com/111091089527727420853/posts/K2Eyg9e1S9s">a big conversation going on Google+ here</a> and <a href="https://www.facebook.com/RobertScoble/timeline/story?ut=3&#038;wstart=1320130800&#038;wend=1322726399&#038;hash=8281893588846696893">on Facebook here</a>.</p>
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		<title>Developers: two companies you should be paying attention to (Loggly and New Relic)</title>
		<link>http://scobleizer.com/2011/11/08/developers-two-companies-you-should-be-paying-attention-to-loggly-and-new-relic/</link>
		<comments>http://scobleizer.com/2011/11/08/developers-two-companies-you-should-be-paying-attention-to-loggly-and-new-relic/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Nov 2011 14:53:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert Scoble</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Web]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scobleizer.com/?p=8163</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[New Relic and Loggly. I am hearing about them more and more from leading-edge developers around the world. At the recent Y Combinator Startup School these two were praised on stage. So, I wanted to learn more about them. Indeed, these are two companies that are changing the world of software development. What do they [...]]]></description>
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<p><a href="http://newrelic.com/">New Relic</a> and <a href="http://loggly.com/">Loggly</a>. I am hearing about them more and more from leading-edge developers around the world. At the recent Y Combinator Startup School these two were praised on stage. So, I wanted to learn more about them. Indeed, these are two companies that are changing the world of software development. What do they do? New Relic lets you watch your server infrastructure and see &#8212; in real time &#8212; the effect of changes of your code on response times. Loggly lets you watch your server&#8217;s logs, again in real time, and search them so you can see new patterns and learn more about what your customers and infrastructure is doing.</p>
<p>Here I sat down with both companies so you can learn a lot more about these two innovative companies.</p>
<p>New Relic:</p>
<p><iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/7Mg0UtzYql4" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>Loggly: </p>
<p><iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/lNKPgu2IPR4" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
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