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	<title>Scobleizer&#187; all things d</title>
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		<title>Why Kara Swisher and Walt Mossberg are wrong about naming Web 3.0 &#8220;Web 3.0&#8243;</title>
		<link>http://scobleizer.com/2009/05/29/kara-is-wrong-about-2010web/</link>
		<comments>http://scobleizer.com/2009/05/29/kara-is-wrong-about-2010web/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 May 2009 08:10:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert Scoble</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[1]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[all things d]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[kara swisher]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Microsoft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[walt mossberg]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wave]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web 3.0]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scobleizer.com/?p=5652</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Can we just head this trend off at the pass? It seems that Kara Swisher and Walt Mossberg, at their &#8220;All Things D&#8221; conference announced the beginning of the Web 3.0 era. That&#8217;s ridiculous. And I&#8217;m not the only one to think so. Short aside: It&#8217;s interesting that neither Kara nor Walt show up very [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Can we just head this trend off at the pass? It seems that Kara Swisher and Walt Mossberg, at their &#8220;All Things D&#8221; conference announced <a href="http://d7.allthingsd.com/20090526/welcome-to-web-30/">the beginning of the Web 3.0 era</a>. </p>
<p>That&#8217;s ridiculous.</p>
<p>And <a href="http://www.pbs.org/mediashift/2009/05/wsjs-d-conference-fumbles-transition-to-web-30148.html">I&#8217;m not the only one to think so</a>. </p>
<p>Short aside: It&#8217;s interesting that neither Kara nor Walt show up very often on friendfeed, which is the best example of the 2010 Web right now. <a href="http://friendfeed.com/karaswisher">Kara Swisher has made a total of five comments there</a>. Walt is even worse, <a href="http://friendfeed.com/waltmossberg">doesn&#8217;t bring any items in there, and only has six comments</a>. How can you know what the 2010 Web is, if you don&#8217;t use it and don&#8217;t participate in it?</p>
<p>The Web does NOT have version numbers. Naming what was going on in the last eight years &#8220;Web 2.0&#8243; did us all a large disservice (Tim O&#8217;Reilly did that, mostly to get people to see that there was something different about the Web that was being built in 2000-2003 than what had come before).</p>
<p>But by naming it a number, I believe it caused a lot of people and businesses to avoid what was going on and &#8220;poo poo&#8221; it as the rantings of the new MySpace generation (which was just getting hot back then).</p>
<p>See, the Web changes EVERY DAY and a version number just doesn&#8217;t do it justice. Think about today, we saw Microsoft announce a major new update to its search engine, named &#8220;Bing,&#8221; that turns on next week and <a href="http://friendfeed.com/search?q=Microsoft+like:scobleizer+intitle:bing">is already getting TONS of kudos</a>. Seriously, in the rental car shuttle today a guy I met said the demo he saw at Kara and Walt&#8217;s conference was &#8220;awesome.&#8221;</p>
<p>Also today was Google&#8217;s Wave, which caught everyone by surprise and which sucked the oxygen out of Microsoft&#8217;s search announcements. <a href="http://friendfeed.com/search?q=Google+like:scobleizer+intitle:wave">Check out all the reports that I liked from around the world this morning</a>.</p>
<p>But, back to the theme of this post. There IS something going on here. <a href="http://scobleizer.com/2009/05/16/exploring-the-2010-web/">I covered it a few weeks ago</a>. </p>
<p>The things that are happening are NOT just Twitter and search. Here, let me recount again what is making up the 2010 Web:</p>
<p>1. Real Time. Google caught the Wave of that trend today BIG TIME.<br />
2. Mobile. Google, again, caught that wave big time Wednesday when it handed Android phones to everyone at its IO conference.<br />
3. Decentralized. Does Microsoft or Twitter demonstrate that trend? Not really well.<br />
4. Pre-made blocks. I call this &#8220;copy-and-paste&#8221; programming. <a href="http://friendfeed.com/search?q=Google+like:scobleizer+intitle:elements">Google nailed it with its Web Elements</a> (I&#8217;ll add a few of those next week).<br />
5. Social. Oh, have you noticed how much more social the web is? The next two days I&#8217;m hanging out on an aircraft carrier with a few people who do social media for the Navy.<br />
6. Smart. Wolfram Alpha opened a lot of people&#8217;s eyes to what is possible in new smart displays of information.<br />
7. Hybrid infrastructure. At the Twitter Conference this week lots of people were talking about how they were using both traditional servers along with cloud-based approaches from Amazon and Rackspace to store, study, and process the sizeable datasets that are coming through Twitter, Facebook, and friendfeed.</p>
<p>So, why doesn&#8217;t a version number work for these changes? Because they don&#8217;t come at us all at once. A lot of these things have been cooking for years. The Internet makes iteration possible. Tomorrow will be better on the Internet than today. In the old world of software you&#8217;d have to wait for the compilers, then you&#8217;d need to distribute tons of CDs or disks. That no longer needs to be done.</p>
<p>The idea that we have a version for the Web is just plain ridiculous. It makes the innovations we&#8217;re implementing too easily dismissed. How many times have you heard that &#8220;Twitter is lame?&#8221; I lost count 897 days ago.</p>
<p>Now, is using a year number, like what I&#8217;m doing, better? Yes. It gets us out of the version lock. And it makes it clear to businesses that if you are still driving around a 1994 Web site that it&#8217;s starting to look as old and crusty as a 1994 car is about now. Executives understand this. It&#8217;s a rare executive who drives an old car around. Most like to have the latest expensive car to get to work in.</p>
<p>Same with the Web. Calling it the &#8220;2010 Web&#8221; puts an urgency into what&#8217;s happening. If your business isn&#8217;t considering the latest stuff it risks looking lame or, worse, leaving money on the table. Just like driving a 1994 car risks looking lame or, worse, breaking down a lot more often than a newer car.</p>
<p>Is the year metaphor perfect? No, I&#8217;m sure there are a few things wrong with it. For one, if you want to host a conference based on the &#8220;trend&#8221; you&#8217;ll have to change your conference name every year. That costs money, which is why conference companies like to have more stable trends that they can exploit for a few years, at least.</p>
<p>Also, there are some clear &#8220;eras&#8221; in the Web, so I could see wanting to suggest that we&#8217;re in the third era of the Web, but I&#8217;ve been studying this for the past eight years and calling the second era &#8220;Web 2&#8243; actually held us back because mainstream users didn&#8217;t think anything was happening in the past few years and Web 2.0 became a useless phrase anyway.</p>
<p>Anyway, can we use year numbers to describe the Web now? It&#8217;ll make it easier to evangelize the modern world to businesses. We&#8217;re entering the 2010 Web, that&#8217;s what I&#8217;m exploring. Calling the Web a version number is for people who don&#8217;t really understand, or participate in, what&#8217;s going on here. Kara and Walt, you gotta do better here.</p>
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